Fact based stock research
Coface (ENXTPA:COFA)

FR0010667147

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Coface stock research in summary

coface.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 37 (worse than 63% compared with investment alternatives), Coface (Property & Casualty Insurance, France) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Coface are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 83 (better than 83% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 31), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 17), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 37, is a hold recommendation based on Coface's financial characteristics. As the company Coface's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 83) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 31) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 17), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 83% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	83
Growth Rank	31
Safety Rank	17
Combined Rank	37

Country	France
Industry	Property & Casualty Insurance
Index	CAC All, SBF 120, Dividends Europe
Size class	Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Coface

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	80	79	81	83
GROWTH
GROWTH	80	97	33	31
SAFETY
SAFETY	16	17	17	17
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	17	19	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	73	85	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Coface is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	80	79	81	83
GROWTH
GROWTH	80	97	33	31
SAFETY
SAFETY	16	17	17	17
COMBINED
COMBINED	66	37	37	37

Last update of combined financial performance: 6-Oct-2022. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Coface the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 83 (better than 83% compared with alternatives) for 2022, Coface shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Coface. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price to earnings, P/E ratio) is 74 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 74% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Coface's profit levels. The same is valid for the expected Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 78, and for Dividend Yield with a Dividend Yield Rank of 91. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the stock price is higher than average as regards expected revenues; only 56% of all competitors have an even higher stock price as regards to sales revenues (a Price-to-Sales Rank of 44). Profits, the level of invested capital, and dividend policy suggest that this stock is attractively priced. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 83, is a buy recommendation based on Coface's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since it is on the expensive side for Price-to-Sales, it may mean that Coface has pricing power in its distribution market because it can charge higher prices than its competitors. If this is the case, all four value indicators are positive signals for purchasing Coface shares. 9. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	46	48	42	44
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	64	59	75	74
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	73	80	82	78
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	82	95	94	91
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	80	79	81	83

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Coface; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 31 (better than 31% compared with alternatives), Coface shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Coface. Sales Growth has a below market rank of 15, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 85% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 45, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 42. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 58% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 69, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 69% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 31, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for Coface, and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with recent above-market stock returns. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive stock returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	39	52	20	15
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	8	94	26	42
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	61	65	45
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	90	91	45	69
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	80	97	33	31

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Coface.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 17 (better than 17% compared with alternatives), the company Coface has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Coface is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Coface and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 90, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 90% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 10, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 90% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 16, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 84% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 17 (worse than 83% compared with alternatives), Coface has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Coface are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Coface and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	4	34	6	10
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	71	90	90	90
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	15	29	21	16
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	16	17	17	17

Last update of Safety Rank: 6-Oct-2022. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Coface and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	38	12	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	18	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	85	73	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	10	3	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	17	19	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Coface.
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