Fact based stock research
Computer Modelling Group (TSX:CMG)

CA2052491057

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

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(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Computer Modelling Group stock research in summary

cmgl.ca

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 67 (better than 67% compared with investment alternatives), Computer Modelling Group (Oil & Gas Equipment, Canada) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Computer Modelling Group are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 64 (better than 64% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 67, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 30). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 67, is a buy recommendation based on Computer Modelling Group's financial characteristics. As the company Computer Modelling Group's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 64) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 30) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 67), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 64% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	64
Growth Rank	30
Safety Rank	67
Combined Rank	67

Country	Canada
Industry	Oil & Gas Equipment
Index
Size class	X-Small

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Computer Modelling Group

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	47	89	74	64
GROWTH
GROWTH	5	11	67	30
SAFETY
SAFETY	81	66	63	67
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	23	78	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	43	94	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Computer Modelling Group is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	47	89	74	64
GROWTH
GROWTH	5	11	67	30
SAFETY
SAFETY	81	66	63	67
COMBINED
COMBINED	28	60	90	67

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Computer Modelling Group the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 64 (better than 64% compared with alternatives), Computer Modelling Group shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Computer Modelling Group. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) is 53 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 53% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Computer Modelling Group's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 23, which means that the stock price is lower as regards to invested capital than for 23% of comparable investments. On the other hand, Price-to-Sales is less favorable than 56% of alternatives (only 44% of peers have an even less favorable ratio). The same is valid for dividend yield, which is lower than 8% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 64, is a buy recommendation based on Computer Modelling Group's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a puzzling picture, because it means that profits are high while dividends are low. Since the stock price is low compared with invested capital but high in respect to expected revenues, it means that the company has more invested capital than peers for generating the same amount of revenue. Since profits are higher, it could be a "cash cow" situation (using the classic Boston Consulting BCG matrix naming convention) where the company is on a downward trend, still living from the profits of past products. As the company pays low dividends, it may harbor the opinion that a turnaround is possible, and it rather invests the cash than pay it out to shareholders, thus sealing the company's fate early. Any investment optimism should only be a buy trigger once thorough research is completed. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	14	62	52	44
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	65	73	68	53
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	6	34	23	23
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	88	100	92	92
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	47	89	74	64

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Computer Modelling Group; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 30 (better than 30% compared with alternatives), Computer Modelling Group shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Computer Modelling Group. Sales Growth has a below market rank of 42, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 58% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 19, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 33. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 67% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 62, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 62% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 30, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for Computer Modelling Group, and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with recent above-market stock returns. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive stock returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	11	21	91	42
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	5	31	50	33
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	13	33	19
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	20	57	69	62
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	5	11	67	30

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Computer Modelling Group.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 67 (better than 67% compared with alternatives), the company Computer Modelling Group has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Computer Modelling Group is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Computer Modelling Group. Liquidity is at 77, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 77% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 49, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 51% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 27, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 73% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 67 (better than 67% compared with alternatives), Computer Modelling Group has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	76	19	26	27
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	22	65	33	49
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	86	67	80	77
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	81	66	63	67

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Computer Modelling Group and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	42	10	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	39	100	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	36	82	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	23	78	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Computer Modelling Group.
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