Fact based stock research
Concordia Financial Group (TSE:7186)
JP3305990008
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Concordia Financial Group stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 46 (worse than 54% compared with investment alternatives), Concordia Financial Group (Regional Banks, Japan) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Concordia Financial Group are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 37 (worse than 63% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 22, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 83). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 46, is a hold recommendation based on Concordia Financial Group's financial characteristics. As the company Concordia Financial Group shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 37 (63% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 83% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 83). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 22 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Concordia Financial Group, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | Japan |
| Industry | Regional Banks |
| Index | Nikkei 225 |
| Size class | Large |
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Concordia Financial Group
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 49 |
|
33 |
|
46 |
|
37 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 13 |
|
61 |
|
79 |
|
83 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 98 |
|
63 |
|
18 |
|
22 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
31 |
|
58 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
47 |
|
49 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 46 (worse than 54% compared with investment alternatives), Concordia Financial Group (Regional Banks, Japan) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Concordia Financial Group are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 37 (worse than 63% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 22, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 83). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 46, is a hold recommendation based on Concordia Financial Group's financial characteristics. As the company Concordia Financial Group shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 37 (63% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 83% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 83). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 22 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Concordia Financial Group, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 49 |
|
33 |
|
46 |
|
37 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 13 |
|
61 |
|
79 |
|
83 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 98 |
|
63 |
|
18 |
|
22 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 57 |
|
51 |
|
43 |
|
46 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 37 (worse than 63% compared with alternatives), Concordia Financial Group shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for Concordia Financial Group. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 50, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 50% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Concordia Financial Group's revenue size. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio), which is more favorable than for 50% of alternatives (50% of peers have a higher ratio). But expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 32 are lower than average (dividends are expected to be lower than 68% of other stocks) while the Price to Profit ratio (or Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio) is higher than average with a Price-to-Profit Rank of 43, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 37, is a hold recommendation based on Concordia Financial Group's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Low profits and low dividends as seen here for Concordia Financial Group may indicate a restructuring phase. This could be transitory, making the company a good value when profits recover and dividends return to higher levels. If the stock price is compared with the size indicators for revenue and invested capital, it is on the lower side, making this stock a good value investment (apart from current profit and dividend expectations). We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 64 |
|
46 |
|
51 |
|
50 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 6 |
|
26 |
|
55 |
|
43 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 82 |
|
64 |
|
57 |
|
50 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 40 |
|
37 |
|
41 |
|
32 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 49 |
|
33 |
|
46 |
|
37 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 83 (better than 83% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Concordia Financial Group shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Concordia Financial Group. Sales Growth has a rank of 95 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 95% of its competitors. Both Profit Growth, with a rank of 57, and Stock Returns, with a rank of 61, are also above average. But Capital Growth only has a rank of 35, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 65% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 83, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That may be a good sign if the company is already well positioned and doesn't require more investments at this time. They may focus on growing the top (revenues) and bottom (profits) lines, recently rewarded with above-average stock returns for shareholders. But it may also be a sign of danger as the company is falling back with capital investment activities concerning competition. This requires further analysis of corporate communications. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 2 |
|
45 |
|
95 |
|
95 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | n/a |
|
96 |
|
43 |
|
57 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
15 |
|
45 |
|
35 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 56 |
|
57 |
|
61 |
|
61 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 13 |
|
61 |
|
79 |
|
83 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 22 (better than 22% compared with alternatives), the company Concordia Financial Group has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Concordia Financial Group is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Concordia Financial Group and the other two below average. Leverage is at a rank of 82 meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 82% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 12, which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 88% of its competitors. Liquidity is at a rank of 24, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 76% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 22 (worse than 78% compared with alternatives), Concordia Financial Group has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This is an indication that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. There is only below-market average liquidity, and a short-term refinancing issue might be around the corner. But in the long-term, the debt levels of Concordia Financial Group are on the safer side. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge and liquidity issues with Concordia Financial Group and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 98 |
|
83 |
|
82 |
|
82 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 58 |
|
32 |
|
14 |
|
12 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 91 |
|
64 |
|
19 |
|
24 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 98 |
|
63 |
|
18 |
|
22 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
3 |
|
61 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
69 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
75 |
|
48 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
48 |
|
23 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
31 |
|
58 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Concordia Financial Group from December 19, 2024.
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