Fact based stock research
ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP)

US20825C1045

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

ConocoPhillips stock research in summary

conocophillips.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 59 (better than 59% compared with investment alternatives), ConocoPhillips (Oil & Gas Production, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of ConocoPhillips are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 32 (worse than 68% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 50) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 78, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 59, is a buy recommendation based on ConocoPhillips's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company ConocoPhillips exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 32), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 50). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 78) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	32
Growth Rank	50
Safety Rank	78
Combined Rank	59

Country	USA
Industry	Oil & Gas Production
Index	Low Emissions, Employee Focus US, Energy Efficient, Diversity USA, Water Efficiency, S&P 500
Size class	XX-Large

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: ConocoPhillips

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	12	21	10	32
GROWTH
GROWTH	93	35	39	50
SAFETY
SAFETY	90	79	76	78
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	41	75	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	29	42	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better ConocoPhillips is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	12	21	10	32
GROWTH
GROWTH	93	35	39	50
SAFETY
SAFETY	90	79	76	78
COMBINED
COMBINED	90	39	33	59

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of ConocoPhillips the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 32 (worse than 68% compared with alternatives), ConocoPhillips shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for ConocoPhillips. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 52, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 52% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning ConocoPhillips's revenue size. The same is valid for dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 58, which means that dividends are expected to be higher than for 58% of comparable investments. On the other hand, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than for 79% of alternatives (only 21% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for the Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E) ratio, which is higher than for 72% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 32, is a hold recommendation based on ConocoPhillips's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a somewhat surprising picture, because it means that profits are low while dividends are high. One interpretation could be that profits are expected to increase, justifying the high dividend payments. But it could also mean that the company desperately keeps the high dividends to avoid a collapsing share price. This would be a rather dangerous constellation. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	7	32	28	52
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	35	13	13	28
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	18	37	25	21
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	41	49	50	58
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	12	21	10	32

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of ConocoPhillips; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 50 (better than 50% compared with alternatives), ConocoPhillips shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half of the indicators are below and half above average for ConocoPhillips. Profit Growth, with a rank of 54 (better than 54% of its competitors), and Capital Growth, with a rank of 70, are both positive, which is a healthy sign for positive development. But Sales Growth has only a rank of 49, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 51% of its competitors, and Stock Returns are at a rank of 28. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 50, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Stock returns that are a thing of the past can be less of a problem. Below-average revenue growth may be caused by divestments of underperforming businesses. If that is the case, then the positive developments of profit and capital growth are signs of a company with growth potential. If these are the reasons, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	95	32	16	49
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	96	90	59	54
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	30	49	70
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	76	41	65	28
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	93	35	39	50

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of ConocoPhillips.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 78 (better than 78% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company ConocoPhillips has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of ConocoPhillips is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for ConocoPhillips. Refinancing is at 74, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 74% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 82, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 82% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 49, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 51% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 78 (better than 78% compared with alternatives), ConocoPhillips has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and ConocoPhillips could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with ConocoPhillips and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	83	67	58	49
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	38	100	88	74
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	88	17	75	82
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	90	79	76	78

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of ConocoPhillips and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	72	89	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	13	17	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	8	54	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	58	75	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	41	75	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for ConocoPhillips.
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