Fact based stock research
ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP)

US20825C1045

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

ConocoPhillips stock research in summary

conocophillips.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 66 (better than 66% compared with investment alternatives), ConocoPhillips (Oil & Gas Production, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of ConocoPhillips are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 29 (worse than 71% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 69) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 80, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 66, is a buy recommendation based on ConocoPhillips's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company ConocoPhillips exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 29), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 69). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 80) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	29
Growth Rank	69
Safety Rank	80
Combined Rank	66

Country	USA
Industry	Oil & Gas Production
Index	Low Emissions, Employee Focus US, Energy Efficient, Diversity USA, Water Efficiency, S&P 500
Size class	XX-Large

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: ConocoPhillips

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	12	21	10	29
GROWTH
GROWTH	93	35	39	69
SAFETY
SAFETY	90	79	76	80
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	41	75	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	29	42	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better ConocoPhillips is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	12	21	10	29
GROWTH
GROWTH	93	35	39	69
SAFETY
SAFETY	90	79	76	80
COMBINED
COMBINED	90	39	33	66

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of ConocoPhillips the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 29 (worse than 71% compared with alternatives), ConocoPhillips shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for ConocoPhillips. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 51, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 51% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning ConocoPhillips's revenue size. The same is valid for dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 55, which means that dividends are expected to be higher than for 55% of comparable investments. On the other hand, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than for 80% of alternatives (only 20% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for the Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E) ratio, which is higher than for 69% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 29, is a hold recommendation based on ConocoPhillips's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a somewhat surprising picture, because it means that profits are low while dividends are high. One interpretation could be that profits are expected to increase, justifying the high dividend payments. But it could also mean that the company desperately keeps the high dividends to avoid a collapsing share price. This would be a rather dangerous constellation. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	7	32	28	51
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	35	13	13	31
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	18	37	25	20
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	41	49	50	55
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	12	21	10	29

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of ConocoPhillips; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 69 (better than 69% compared with alternatives), ConocoPhillips shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for ConocoPhillips. Sales Growth has a value of 54 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 54% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a value of 56 and Capital Growth with a rank of 73 means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow both profits and invested capital more than of its competitors. But Stock Returns has only a rank of 47, which means that stock returns have recently been below 53% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 69, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. ConocoPhillips has only one below-average growth indicator, the stock returns. This is probably the least reliable growth indicator, because it measures company and investor expectations at the same time. The three other growth indicators, which are all positive for ConocoPhillips, are more reliable measures of growth momentum. For this reason, the company seems to be on a good trajectory, unless you think the current period is not representative, because of unique events that will not be repeated in the future. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	95	32	16	54
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	96	90	59	56
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	30	49	73
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	76	41	65	47
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	93	35	39	69

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of ConocoPhillips.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 80 (better than 80% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company ConocoPhillips has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of ConocoPhillips is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for ConocoPhillips. Leverage is at 50, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 50% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 76, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 76% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 82, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 82% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 80 (better than 80% compared with alternatives), ConocoPhillips has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with ConocoPhillips but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	83	67	58	50
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	38	100	88	76
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	88	17	75	82
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	90	79	76	80

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of ConocoPhillips and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	72	89	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	13	17	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	8	54	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	58	75	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	41	75	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for ConocoPhillips.
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