Fact based stock research
Constellation Software (TSX:CSU)
CA21037X1006
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Constellation Software stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 46 (worse than 54% compared with investment alternatives), Constellation Software (Application Software, Canada) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Constellation Software are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 31 (worse than 69% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 46, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 81). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 46, is a hold recommendation based on Constellation Software's financial characteristics. As the company Constellation Software shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 31 (69% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 81% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 81). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 46 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Constellation Software, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | Canada |
| Industry | Application Software |
| Index | TSX Composite |
| Size class | X-Large |
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Constellation Software
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 36 |
|
63 |
|
42 |
|
31 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 70 |
|
71 |
|
77 |
|
81 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 12 |
|
32 |
|
54 |
|
46 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
79 |
|
65 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
77 |
|
86 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 46 (worse than 54% compared with investment alternatives), Constellation Software (Application Software, Canada) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Constellation Software are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 31 (worse than 69% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 46, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 81). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 46, is a hold recommendation based on Constellation Software's financial characteristics. As the company Constellation Software shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 31 (69% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 81% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 81). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 46 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Constellation Software, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 36 |
|
63 |
|
42 |
|
31 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 70 |
|
71 |
|
77 |
|
81 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 12 |
|
32 |
|
54 |
|
46 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 30 |
|
54 |
|
61 |
|
46 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 31 (worse than 69% compared with alternatives), Constellation Software shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Constellation Software. Only the metric dividend yield has an above-average rank, reflecting that dividend practices are expected to be higher than 77% of comparable companies, making the stock an attractive buy for dividend investors. However, dividend investors may get disappointed because all other critical financial indicators are below the market median: Price-to-Sales is 34 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 66% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Constellation Software's sales levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a rank of 29 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profit levels is higher than 71% of comparable companies. In addition, Price-to-Book (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 5 is also low. Compared with invested capital, the stock price is higher than for 95% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 31, is a hold recommendation based on Constellation Software's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Should dividend investors pick Constellation Software? The company-reported financials speak against it. The company is expensive compared with revenue and invested capital levels, two reliable company size indicators. In addition, it currently has a low level of profits. How can future dividends be paid in the case that profits remain low? Dividend investors should choose Constellation Software only if they reasonably expect the low current profit levels to be transitory. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 42 |
|
47 |
|
38 |
|
34 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 41 |
|
56 |
|
43 |
|
29 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 1 |
|
9 |
|
3 |
|
5 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 58 |
|
85 |
|
79 |
|
77 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 36 |
|
63 |
|
42 |
|
31 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 81 (better than 81% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Constellation Software shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Constellation Software. Sales Growth has a rank of 94 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 94% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 14% of competitors with a rank of 69, and Stock Returns with the rank of 63 is also an outperformance. Only Profit Growth is low with a rank of 14 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 86% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 81, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. All three operating growth indicators, namely revenue, profit, and capital growth, are showing improvements. This is a good indication of a company with a positive future. That might, at the same time, be the simple reason why profit growth is low. A growing company needs money and thus can't yet show high profit growth. Look out for signs in corporate communication about extra growth efforts costing time and money. If that is the case, Constellation Software is a good growth stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 62 |
|
29 |
|
83 |
|
94 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 54 |
|
40 |
|
41 |
|
14 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
67 |
|
62 |
|
69 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 77 |
|
87 |
|
73 |
|
63 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 70 |
|
71 |
|
77 |
|
81 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 46 (better than 46% compared with alternatives), the company Constellation Software has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Constellation Software is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Constellation Software. Liquidity is at 80, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 80% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 25, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 75% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 24, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 76% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 46 (worse than 54% compared with alternatives), Constellation Software has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 17 |
|
38 |
|
31 |
|
24 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 21 |
|
1 |
|
19 |
|
25 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 67 |
|
92 |
|
92 |
|
80 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 12 |
|
32 |
|
54 |
|
46 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
38 |
|
25 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
83 |
|
96 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
82 |
|
53 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
79 |
|
65 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Constellation Software from November 14, 2024.
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