Fact based stock research
Alpha Metallurgical Resources (NYSE:CTRA)

US0207641061

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Alpha Metallurgical Resources stock research in summary

alphametresources.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 71 (better than 71% compared with investment alternatives), Alpha Metallurgical Resources (Steel, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Alpha Metallurgical Resources are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 72 (better than 72% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 100, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 3). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 71, is a buy recommendation based on Alpha Metallurgical Resources's financial characteristics. As the company Alpha Metallurgical Resources's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 72) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 3) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 100), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 72% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	72
Growth Rank	3
Safety Rank	100
Combined Rank	71

Country	USA
Industry	Steel
Index	IDX Composite
Size class	Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Alpha Metallurgical Resources

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	19	67	24	72
GROWTH
GROWTH	57	100	45	3
SAFETY
SAFETY	27	10	90	100
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	51	30	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	59	30	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Alpha Metallurgical Resources is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	19	67	24	72
GROWTH
GROWTH	57	100	45	3
SAFETY
SAFETY	27	10	90	100
COMBINED
COMBINED	29	57	45	71

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Alpha Metallurgical Resources the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 72 (better than 72% compared with alternatives), Alpha Metallurgical Resources shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Alpha Metallurgical Resources. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 77, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 77% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Alpha Metallurgical Resources's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 83% of alternatives. It is also positive for expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 53 (dividends are expected to be higher than 53% of other stocks). But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is higher than average, making the stock more expensive. Only 66% of all competitors have an even higher price compared with book capital which puts the Price-to-Capital Rank for Alpha Metallurgical Resources to 34. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 72, is a buy recommendation based on Alpha Metallurgical Resources's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. A low level of book capital means that the company has a business that is leaner in assets than its competitors. For instance, the company could be leasing its production facilities or be more focussed on intellectual property, such as its brand and software, which is less visible in its book capital. If that is the case, the three good value ranks for Sales, Profits, and Dividends are reliable indicators for the stock price value. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	86	82	44	77
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	14	100	51	83
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	2	4	11	34
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	1	57	40	53
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	19	67	24	72

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Alpha Metallurgical Resources; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 3 (better than 3% compared with alternatives), Alpha Metallurgical Resources shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for Alpha Metallurgical Resources. Sales Growth has a rank of 18, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 82% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 14, and Capital Growth with 30. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 17, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 83% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 3, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	14	78	8	18
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	n/a	65	19	14
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	91	47	30
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	100	100	97	17
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	57	100	45	3

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Alpha Metallurgical Resources.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Alpha Metallurgical Resources has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Alpha Metallurgical Resources is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Alpha Metallurgical Resources. Leverage is at 92, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 92% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 85, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 85% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 98, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 98% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives), Alpha Metallurgical Resources has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Alpha Metallurgical Resources but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	16	7	90	92
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	90	59	57	85
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	9	13	87	98
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	27	10	90	100

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Alpha Metallurgical Resources and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	7	15	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	94	65	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	50	26	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	51	30	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Alpha Metallurgical Resources.
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