Fact based stock research
Dropbox (NasdaqGS:DBX)
US26210C1045
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Dropbox stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 14 (worse than 86% compared with investment alternatives), Dropbox (Application Software, USA) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Dropbox are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 85 (better than 85% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 25), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 4), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 14, is a sell recommendation based on Dropbox's financial characteristics. As the company Dropbox's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 85) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 25) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 4), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 85% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | Application Software |
| Index | Dividends USA, Diversity USA, NASDAQ |
| Size class | Medium |
31-Jul-2025. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.
Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Dropbox
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 100 |
|
96 |
|
84 |
|
85 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 73 |
|
32 |
|
49 |
|
25 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 75 |
|
75 |
|
13 |
|
4 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 3 |
|
55 |
|
41 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 73 |
|
65 |
|
8 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 14 (worse than 86% compared with investment alternatives), Dropbox (Application Software, USA) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Dropbox are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 85 (better than 85% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 25), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 4), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 14, is a sell recommendation based on Dropbox's financial characteristics. As the company Dropbox's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 85) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 25) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 4), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 85% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 100 |
|
96 |
|
84 |
|
85 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 73 |
|
32 |
|
49 |
|
25 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 75 |
|
75 |
|
13 |
|
4 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 14 |
|
14 |
|
20 |
|
14 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 85 (better than 85% compared with alternatives) for 2025, Dropbox shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Dropbox. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 54, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 54% of comparable companies, indicating a good value regarding Dropbox's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price to Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 82% of alternatives, and it's also true for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 92. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields are expected to be lower than average; only 1% of all competitors have even lower dividend yields than Dropbox (a Dividend Yield Rank of 1). 99% alternative investments in the same business provide a higher dividend yield. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 85, is a buy recommendation based on Dropbox's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The below-average dividend yield may be a good sign, as it could mean the company has more attractive investment opportunities for the generated cash than to pay it out as dividends. A low dividend yield can also indicate a growth phase. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 73 |
|
52 |
|
49 |
|
54 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 90 |
|
88 |
|
81 |
|
82 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 97 |
|
100 |
|
94 |
|
92 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 95 |
|
92 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 100 |
|
96 |
|
84 |
|
85 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 25 (better than 25% compared with alternatives), Dropbox shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Dropbox. Capital Growth has a rank of 71, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 21% of its competitors. Investors welcomed this, visible in the Stock Returns rank of 65 (above 65% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has only a rank of 5, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 95% of its competitors, and Profit Growth is also low at a rank of 21. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 25, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is an ambiguous picture. Revenue growth and capital growth are strong, but the growth in profit, which seems good, can also be an indication that growth momentum may be negative. The fact that stock returns have been above average doesn't help much, as stock returns are less reliable in showing a company’s future growth potential. Prices may perform well for the simple reason that investors were too pessimistic in the past and are now correcting their opinions and moving the stock price to a more reasonable level. As the growth picture is mixed for Dropbox, investors may want to look at value and sentiment indicators for a well-rounded picture of this stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 11 |
|
17 |
|
12 |
|
5 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 67 |
|
34 |
|
43 |
|
21 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | 76 |
|
67 |
|
79 |
|
71 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 79 |
|
57 |
|
79 |
|
65 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 73 |
|
32 |
|
49 |
|
25 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 4 (better than 4% compared with alternatives), the company Dropbox has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Dropbox is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Dropbox. Liquidity is at 57, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 57% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 9, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 91% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 1, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 99% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 4 (worse than 96% compared with alternatives), Dropbox has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 25 |
|
2 |
|
3 |
|
1 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 59 |
|
19 |
|
16 |
|
9 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 94 |
|
94 |
|
97 |
|
57 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 75 |
|
75 |
|
13 |
|
4 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
36 |
|
7 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | 50 |
|
50 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | 33 |
|
94 |
|
100 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | 20 |
|
33 |
|
10 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | 3 |
|
55 |
|
41 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Dropbox from July 31, 2025.
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