Fact based stock research
EMCOR (NYSE:EME)

US29084Q1004

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

EMCOR stock research in summary

emcorgroup.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with investment alternatives), EMCOR (Construction & Engineering, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of EMCOR are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 38 (worse than 62% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 78) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 87, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 92, is a strong buy recommendation based on EMCOR's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company EMCOR exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 38), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 78). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 87) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	38
Growth Rank	78
Safety Rank	87
Combined Rank	92

Country	USA
Industry	Construction & Engineering
Index	S&P MIDCAP
Size class	XX-Large

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: EMCOR

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	41	65	54	38
GROWTH
GROWTH	49	41	81	78
SAFETY
SAFETY	80	96	90	87
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	65	98	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	83	100	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better EMCOR is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	41	65	54	38
GROWTH
GROWTH	49	41	81	78
SAFETY
SAFETY	80	96	90	87
COMBINED
COMBINED	65	86	98	92

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of EMCOR the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 38 (worse than 62% compared with alternatives), EMCOR shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where the majority of metrics are below, and only one is above average for EMCOR. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 55, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than 55% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning to EMCOR's revenue size. But all other performance indicators point in a different direction. Dividend yields have a Dividend Yield rank of 40, meaning that dividends are expected to be lower than for 60% of comparable investments. Furthermore, Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than 90% of alternatives (only 10% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E), which is higher than for 59% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 38, is a hold recommendation based on EMCOR's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since Price-to-Sales is a stable value indicator even in challenging times, investing in EMCOR could be seen as a value investment. However, there must be a good reason for the low market-to-book rank. If the company has a typical capital investment practice, the stock may be overvalued because the profit and dividend-related performance indicators are also low. The stock is only good value if investors can expect profits and dividends to pick up in the future. Else, EMCOR looks like an expensive investment today. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	60	78	72	55
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	50	64	59	41
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	10	44	27	10
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	28	43	38	40
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	41	65	54	38

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of EMCOR; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 78 (better than 78% compared with alternatives) for 2024, EMCOR shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for EMCOR. Sales Growth has a rank of 61 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 61% of its competitors. Both Profit Growth, with a rank of 92, and Stock Returns, with a rank of 90, are also above average. But Capital Growth only has a rank of 39, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 61% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 78, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That may be a good sign if the company is already well positioned and doesn't require more investments at this time. They may focus on growing the top (revenues) and bottom (profits) lines, recently rewarded with above-average stock returns for shareholders. But it may also be a sign of danger as the company is falling back with capital investment activities concerning competition. This requires further analysis of corporate communications. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	36	22	76	61
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	38	28	82	92
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	64	61	39
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	76	75	65	90
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	49	41	81	78

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of EMCOR.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 87 (better than 87% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company EMCOR has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of EMCOR is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for EMCOR. Leverage is at a rank of 91, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 91% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 89, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 89% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 12, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 88% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 87 (better than 87% compared with alternatives), EMCOR has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for EMCOR. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with EMCOR and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	72	82	86	91
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	40	47	25	12
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	88	93	91	89
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	80	96	90	87

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of EMCOR and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	55	100	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	18	62	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	100	95	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	65	98	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for EMCOR.
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