Fact based stock research
ESSA (NasdaqGS:ESSA)

US29667D1046

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

ESSA stock research in summary

ir.essabank.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 61 (better than 61% compared with investment alternatives), ESSA (Thrifts & Mortgage Finance, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of ESSA are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 89 (better than 89% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 47), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 31), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 61, is a buy recommendation based on ESSA's financial characteristics. As the company ESSA's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 89) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 47) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 31), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 89% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	89
Growth Rank	47
Safety Rank	31
Combined Rank	61

Country	USA
Industry	Thrifts & Mortgage Finance
Index	Sound Pay USA, NASDAQ
Size class	XX-Large

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

Why popular stocks have low ratings

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: ESSA

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	89	89	64	89
GROWTH
GROWTH	9	57	85	47
SAFETY
SAFETY	30	99	5	31
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	79	76	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	100	74	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better ESSA is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	89	89	64	89
GROWTH
GROWTH	9	57	85	47
SAFETY
SAFETY	30	99	5	31
COMBINED
COMBINED	26	100	50	61

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of ESSA the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 89 (better than 89% compared with alternatives) for 2024, ESSA shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for ESSA. Price-to-Sales is 68 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 68% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for ESSA's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 89% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 74. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of ESSA are expected to be higher than for 63% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 63). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 89, is a buy recommendation based on ESSA's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in ESSA based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	81	84	56	68
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	65	83	65	89
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	90	95	69	74
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	65	51	42	63
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	89	89	64	89

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of ESSA; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 47 (better than 47% compared with alternatives), ESSA shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for ESSA. Sales Growth has a rank of 75, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 75% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 69 is also above average. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 31, and Stock Returns with 19 are also below-average. Stock returns for ESSA have recently been below 81% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 47, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Are investors forecasting troubles based on the lack of operating investment activity at the company? This could be one explanation as to why stock returns are low. But stock returns can also be the result of correcting an error in the past, in this case, an overly optimistic outlook on the future, which is now more realistic. The Value Ranks may confirm such a picture. The more important growth indicators are revenues and profits, which are both above average for ESSA. This is a positive sign from the company's operational side and may give investors courage, despite the poor recent stock price performance. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with the Obermatt Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	11	63	94	75
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	1	15	64	69
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	87	59	31
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	25	35	55	19
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	9	57	85	47

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of ESSA.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 31 (better than 31% compared with alternatives), the company ESSA has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of ESSA is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for ESSA. Liquidity is at 77, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 77% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 41, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 59% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 2, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 98% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 31 (worse than 69% compared with alternatives), ESSA has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	77	94	2	2
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	1	64	50	41
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	44	69	13	77
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	30	99	5	31

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of ESSA and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	1	45	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	87	59	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	92	83	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	79	76	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for ESSA.
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