Fact based stock research
Etsy (NasdaqGS:ETSY)
US29786A1060
How to read the free ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Etsy stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 52 (better than 52% compared with investment alternatives), Etsy (Internet Retail, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Etsy are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 55 (better than 55% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 55, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 48). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 52, is a buy recommendation based on Etsy's financial characteristics. As the company Etsy's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 55) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 48) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 55), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 55% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | USA |
Industry | Internet Retail |
Index | Employee Focus US, Diversity USA, NASDAQ, S&P US Luxury, S&P 500 |
Size class | Large |
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Etsy
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 9 |
|
9 |
|
12 |
|
n/a |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 100 |
|
39 |
|
51 |
|
n/a |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 9 |
|
54 |
|
58 |
|
n/a |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
93 |
|
77 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
53 |
|
48 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 52 (better than 52% compared with investment alternatives), Etsy (Internet Retail, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Etsy are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 55 (better than 55% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 55, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 48). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 52, is a buy recommendation based on Etsy's financial characteristics. As the company Etsy's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 55) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 48) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 55), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 55% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 9 |
|
9 |
|
12 |
|
n/a |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 100 |
|
39 |
|
51 |
|
n/a |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 9 |
|
54 |
|
58 |
|
n/a |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 25 |
|
12 |
|
19 |
|
n/a |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 55 (better than 55% compared with alternatives), Etsy shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators where three out of four are below average for Etsy. Only the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) indicates good stock value with a Price-to-Book Rank of 100, which means that the stock price is lower compared with invested capital than for 100% of comparable investments. All other value indicators are below the market median. Price-to-Sales is 38 which means the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 62% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Etsy's revenue levels. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 100 and for the dividend yields rank which is lower than for 99% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to with the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 55, is a buy recommendation based on Etsy's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Why are market participants paying such a high price for Etsy, where three out of four value indicators are below par? One reason could be that the company is well financed, indicated by the high book capital level, and has a promising future that is not yet visible in reported revenues and profits. That would also explain the low dividend yield because the company needs the cash to invest in its future. If investors can verify a picture in this sense, the stock may still be a good investment, even though current company-reported financials don't fully explain current stock prices. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 16 |
|
25 |
|
34 |
|
n/a |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 52 |
|
41 |
|
46 |
|
n/a |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 2 |
|
6 |
|
1 |
|
n/a |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
n/a |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 9 |
|
9 |
|
12 |
|
n/a |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 48 (better than 48% compared with alternatives), Etsy shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half of the indicators are below and half above average for Etsy. Profit Growth, with a rank of 90 (better than 90% of its competitors), and Capital Growth, with a rank of 62, are both positive, which is a healthy sign for positive development. But Sales Growth has only a rank of 23, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 77% of its competitors, and Stock Returns are at a rank of 13. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 48, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Stock returns that are a thing of the past can be less of a problem. Below-average revenue growth may be caused by divestments of underperforming businesses. If that is the case, then the positive developments of profit and capital growth are signs of a company with growth potential. If these are the reasons, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 81 |
|
41 |
|
22 |
|
n/a |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | 28 |
|
56 |
|
89 |
|
n/a |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
17 |
|
78 |
|
n/a |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 80 |
|
49 |
|
13 |
|
n/a |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 100 |
|
39 |
|
51 |
|
n/a |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 55 (better than 55% compared with alternatives), the company Etsy has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Etsy is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Etsy. Liquidity is at 92, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 92% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 44, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 56% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 4, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 96% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 55 (better than 55% compared with alternatives), Etsy has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 20 |
|
18 |
|
4 |
|
n/a |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 42 |
|
35 |
|
49 |
|
n/a |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 39 |
|
86 |
|
92 |
|
n/a |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 9 |
|
54 |
|
58 |
|
n/a |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
54 |
|
25 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
79 |
|
64 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
79 |
|
98 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
74 |
|
57 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
93 |
|
77 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Etsy from January 9, 2025.
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