Fact based stock research
Evolution Gaming (OM:EVO)

SE0012673267

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Evolution Gaming stock research in summary

evolution.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 87 (better than 87% compared with investment alternatives), Evolution Gaming (Casinos & Gaming, Sweden) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Evolution Gaming are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 29 (worse than 71% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 63) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 96, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 87, is a strong buy recommendation based on Evolution Gaming's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Evolution Gaming exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 29), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 63). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 96) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	29
Growth Rank	63
Safety Rank	96
Combined Rank	87

Country	Sweden
Industry	Casinos & Gaming
Index
Size class	Large

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Evolution Gaming

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	44	16	16	29
GROWTH
GROWTH	100	100	87	63
SAFETY
SAFETY	83	98	98	96
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	39	94	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	84	96	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Evolution Gaming is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	44	16	16	29
GROWTH
GROWTH	100	100	87	63
SAFETY
SAFETY	83	98	98	96
COMBINED
COMBINED	94	92	92	87

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Evolution Gaming the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 29 (worse than 71% compared with alternatives), Evolution Gaming shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Evolution Gaming. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) is 65 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 65% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Evolution Gaming's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 31, which means that the stock price is lower as regards to invested capital than for 31% of comparable investments. On the other hand, Price-to-Sales is less favorable than 97% of alternatives (only 3% of peers have an even less favorable ratio). The same is valid for dividend yield, which is lower than 24% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 29, is a hold recommendation based on Evolution Gaming's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a puzzling picture, because it means that profits are high while dividends are low. Since the stock price is low compared with invested capital but high in respect to expected revenues, it means that the company has more invested capital than peers for generating the same amount of revenue. Since profits are higher, it could be a "cash cow" situation (using the classic Boston Consulting BCG matrix naming convention) where the company is on a downward trend, still living from the profits of past products. As the company pays low dividends, it may harbor the opinion that a turnaround is possible, and it rather invests the cash than pay it out to shareholders, thus sealing the company's fate early. Any investment optimism should only be a buy trigger once thorough research is completed. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	11	1	1	3
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	45	37	38	65
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	25	14	22	31
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	60	70	58	76
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	44	16	16	29

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Evolution Gaming; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 63 (better than 63% compared with alternatives), Evolution Gaming shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Evolution Gaming. Sales Growth has a rank of 89 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 89% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 30% of competitors with a rank of 69. But Profit Growth only has a rank of 30, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 70% of its competitors. And Stock Returns have also been below average with a rank of only 27. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 63, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Profits are sometimes low if the company invests in the future. The positive revenue and capital investment outlook confirms such an interpretation. Both revenues and capital are solid growth indicators, and lower profits in such a case would be encouraging. But the investors see it differently by punishing the share price. Sometimes, Mister Market is not very reliable, because it is not uncommon for it to be volatile. Investors should look out for signs of growth expenditure that could justify low profit growth, and they may also find reasons why recent stock price developments don't confirm the growth outlook of operations. While operating growth indicators are not perfect, they are more reliable indicators for future performance than stock prices that can repeatedly surprise investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	100	63	94	89
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	n/a	68	48	30
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	78	91	69
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	83	99	55	27
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	100	100	87	63

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Evolution Gaming.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Evolution Gaming has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Evolution Gaming is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Evolution Gaming. Leverage is at 97, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 97% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 79, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 79% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 100, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 100% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with alternatives), Evolution Gaming has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Evolution Gaming but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	54	97	100	97
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	57	63	67	79
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	91	100	100	100
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	83	98	98	96

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Evolution Gaming and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	66	53	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	12	56	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	16	94	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	96	100	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	39	94	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Evolution Gaming.
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