Fact based stock research
Express (NYSE:EXPR)

US30219E1038

How to read the free ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Express stock research in summary

express.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 42 (worse than 58% compared with investment alternatives), Express (Apparel Retail, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Express are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 91 (better than 91% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 37), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 4), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 42, is a hold recommendation based on Express's financial characteristics. As the company Express's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 91) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 37) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 4), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 91% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	91
Growth Rank	37
Safety Rank	4
Combined Rank	42

Country	USA
Industry	Apparel Retail
Index	Diversity USA
Size class	Large

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Express

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	53	69	98	91
GROWTH
GROWTH	94	65	51	37
SAFETY
SAFETY	10	1	11	4
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	9	20	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	21	62	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 28-Oct-2023. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Express is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	53	69	98	91
GROWTH
GROWTH	94	65	51	37
SAFETY
SAFETY	10	1	11	4
COMBINED
COMBINED	38	51	55	42

Last update of combined financial performance: 4-Jul-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Express the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 91 (better than 91% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Express shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Express. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 97, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 97% of comparable companies, indicating a good value regarding Express's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price to Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 100% of alternatives, and it's also true for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 88. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields are expected to be lower than average; only 1% of all competitors have even lower dividend yields than Express (a Dividend Yield Rank of 1). 99% alternative investments in the same business provide a higher dividend yield. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 91, is a buy recommendation based on Express's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The below-average dividend yield may be a good sign, as it could mean the company has more attractive investment opportunities for the generated cash than to pay it out as dividends. A low dividend yield can also indicate a growth phase. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	93	98	97	97
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	11	30	100	100
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	100	97	91	88
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	1	1	1	1
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	53	69	98	91

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Express; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 37 (better than 37% compared with alternatives), Express shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Express. Sales Growth has a rank of 95 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 95% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 1% of competitors with a rank of 87. But Profit Growth only has a rank of 1, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 99% of its competitors. And Stock Returns have also been below average with a rank of only 3. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 37, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Profits are sometimes low if the company invests in the future. The positive revenue and capital investment outlook confirms such an interpretation. Both revenues and capital are solid growth indicators, and lower profits in such a case would be encouraging. But the investors see it differently by punishing the share price. Sometimes, Mister Market is not very reliable, because it is not uncommon for it to be volatile. Investors should look out for signs of growth expenditure that could justify low profit growth, and they may also find reasons why recent stock price developments don't confirm the growth outlook of operations. While operating growth indicators are not perfect, they are more reliable indicators for future performance than stock prices that can repeatedly surprise investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	58	67	88	95
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	3	53	14	1
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	5	100	87
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	100	97	7	3
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	94	65	51	37

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Express.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 4 (better than 4% compared with alternatives), the company Express has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Express is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Express and the other two below average. Leverage is at a rank of 58 meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 58% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 1, which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 99% of its competitors. Liquidity is at a rank of 44, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 56% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 4 (worse than 96% compared with alternatives), Express has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This is an indication that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. There is only below-market average liquidity, and a short-term refinancing issue might be around the corner. But in the long-term, the debt levels of Express are on the safer side. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge and liquidity issues with Express and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	4	8	61	58
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	76	1	4	1
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	6	5	12	44
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	10	1	11	4

Last update of Safety Rank: 4-Jul-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Express and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	12	89	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	1	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	41	14	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	12	3	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	9	20	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Express.
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