Fact based stock research
Exxaro (JSE:EXX)
ZAE000084992
How to read the free ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Exxaro stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with investment alternatives), Exxaro (Coal & Consumable Fuels, South Africa) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Exxaro are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 91 (better than 91% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 53), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 78), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 96, is a strong buy recommendation based on Exxaro's financial characteristics. As the company Exxaro's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 91), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 53), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 78), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of Exxaro. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | South Africa |
| Industry | Coal & Consumable Fuels |
| Index | Low Emissions, Energy Efficient, Water Efficiency, JSE All Shares |
| Size class | Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Exxaro
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 100 |
|
81 |
|
64 |
|
91 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 34 |
|
89 |
|
63 |
|
53 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 83 |
|
49 |
|
70 |
|
78 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
86 |
|
62 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
95 |
|
79 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with investment alternatives), Exxaro (Coal & Consumable Fuels, South Africa) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Exxaro are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 91 (better than 91% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 53), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 78), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 96, is a strong buy recommendation based on Exxaro's financial characteristics. As the company Exxaro's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 91), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 53), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 78), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of Exxaro. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 100 |
|
81 |
|
64 |
|
91 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 34 |
|
89 |
|
63 |
|
53 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 83 |
|
49 |
|
70 |
|
78 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 93 |
|
90 |
|
79 |
|
96 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 91 (better than 91% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Exxaro shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Exxaro. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price to earnings, P/E ratio) is 88 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 88% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Exxaro's profit levels. The same is valid for the expected Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 79, and for Dividend Yield with a Dividend Yield Rank of 98. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the stock price is higher than average as regards expected revenues; only 56% of all competitors have an even higher stock price as regards to sales revenues (a Price-to-Sales Rank of 44). Profits, the level of invested capital, and dividend policy suggest that this stock is attractively priced. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 91, is a buy recommendation based on Exxaro's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since it is on the expensive side for Price-to-Sales, it may mean that Exxaro has pricing power in its distribution market because it can charge higher prices than its competitors. If this is the case, all four value indicators are positive signals for purchasing Exxaro shares. 9. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 76 |
|
34 |
|
27 |
|
44 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 94 |
|
93 |
|
86 |
|
88 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 78 |
|
67 |
|
57 |
|
79 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 98 |
|
92 |
|
98 |
|
98 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 100 |
|
81 |
|
64 |
|
91 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 53 (better than 53% compared with alternatives), Exxaro shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Exxaro. Only Capital Growth has a good rank of 87, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 28% of its competitors. The other three indicators are pointing South: Sales Growth has a rank of 44 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 56% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 28 and Stock Returns with a rank of 35 are also low (below 65% of alternative investments). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 53, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The good news from the invested capital side is surprising. A company with disappointing revenues, profits, and disappointed shareholders typically doesn't invest above average. Overall, the growth momentum for Exxaro is thus negative. As it is intriguing to see that company executives are optimistic about their investment policy, it is worthwhile looking into the details of the capital investment projects. They may indicate future growth and profits and thus if accompanied by a good value, a sign of good timing to invest in the stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 14 |
|
70 |
|
51 |
|
44 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 83 |
|
52 |
|
39 |
|
28 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
87 |
|
63 |
|
87 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 60 |
|
67 |
|
53 |
|
35 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 34 |
|
89 |
|
63 |
|
53 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 78 (better than 78% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Exxaro has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Exxaro is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Exxaro. Leverage is at 76, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 76% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 75, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 75% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 56, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 56% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 78 (better than 78% compared with alternatives), Exxaro has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Exxaro but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 50 |
|
60 |
|
70 |
|
76 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 90 |
|
39 |
|
71 |
|
75 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 62 |
|
50 |
|
60 |
|
56 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 83 |
|
49 |
|
70 |
|
78 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
85 |
|
36 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
84 |
|
48 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
56 |
|
75 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
86 |
|
62 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Exxaro from November 14, 2024.
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