Fact based stock research
Farmer Bros. (NasdaqGS:FARM)
US3076751086
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Farmer Bros. stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 58 (better than 58% compared with investment alternatives), Farmer Bros. (Packaged Foods & Meats, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Farmer Bros. are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 63 (better than 63% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 65, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 37). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 58, is a buy recommendation based on Farmer Bros.'s financial characteristics. As the company Farmer Bros.'s key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 63) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 37) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 65), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 63% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | Packaged Foods & Meats |
| Index | NASDAQ |
| Size class | Medium |
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Farmer Bros.
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 44 |
|
67 |
|
56 |
|
63 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 39 |
|
88 |
|
39 |
|
37 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 15 |
|
47 |
|
59 |
|
65 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
38 |
|
42 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
73 |
|
46 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 58 (better than 58% compared with investment alternatives), Farmer Bros. (Packaged Foods & Meats, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Farmer Bros. are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 63 (better than 63% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 65, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 37). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 58, is a buy recommendation based on Farmer Bros.'s financial characteristics. As the company Farmer Bros.'s key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 63) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 37) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 65), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 63% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 44 |
|
67 |
|
56 |
|
63 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 39 |
|
88 |
|
39 |
|
37 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 15 |
|
47 |
|
59 |
|
65 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 15 |
|
80 |
|
48 |
|
58 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 63 (better than 63% compared with alternatives), Farmer Bros. shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for Farmer Bros.. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 100, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 100% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Farmer Bros.'s revenue size. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio), which is more favorable than for 86% of alternatives (14% of peers have a higher ratio). But expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 1 are lower than average (dividends are expected to be lower than 99% of other stocks) while the Price to Profit ratio (or Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio) is higher than average with a Price-to-Profit Rank of 30, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 63, is a buy recommendation based on Farmer Bros.'s stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Low profits and low dividends as seen here for Farmer Bros. may indicate a restructuring phase. This could be transitory, making the company a good value when profits recover and dividends return to higher levels. If the stock price is compared with the size indicators for revenue and invested capital, it is on the lower side, making this stock a good value investment (apart from current profit and dividend expectations). We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 90 |
|
97 |
|
100 |
|
100 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 10 |
|
30 |
|
30 |
|
30 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 84 |
|
94 |
|
67 |
|
86 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 44 |
|
67 |
|
56 |
|
63 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 37 (better than 37% compared with alternatives), Farmer Bros. shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Farmer Bros.. Sales Growth has a rank of 76 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 76% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 4% of competitors with a rank of 83. But Profit Growth only has a rank of 4, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 96% of its competitors. And Stock Returns have also been below average with a rank of only 15. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 37, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Profits are sometimes low if the company invests in the future. The positive revenue and capital investment outlook confirms such an interpretation. Both revenues and capital are solid growth indicators, and lower profits in such a case would be encouraging. But the investors see it differently by punishing the share price. Sometimes, Mister Market is not very reliable, because it is not uncommon for it to be volatile. Investors should look out for signs of growth expenditure that could justify low profit growth, and they may also find reasons why recent stock price developments don't confirm the growth outlook of operations. While operating growth indicators are not perfect, they are more reliable indicators for future performance than stock prices that can repeatedly surprise investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 5 |
|
84 |
|
70 |
|
76 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 45 |
|
92 |
|
88 |
|
4 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
9 |
|
1 |
|
83 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 98 |
|
87 |
|
9 |
|
15 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 39 |
|
88 |
|
39 |
|
37 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 65 (better than 65% compared with alternatives), the company Farmer Bros. has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Farmer Bros. is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators where two out of three are above average for Farmer Bros..Leverage is at 58, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 58% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 95, meaning that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 95% of its competitors. Liquidity is at 8, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 92% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side regarding debt service. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 65 (better than 65% compared with alternatives), Farmer Bros. has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. Low leverage and low refinancing risk mean a safer financing situation. However, low liquidity means that current company cash flows are low in relation to the level of debt. This is a sign of caution in case it is expected for profits to remain low. Investors should compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before deciding. They may also want to investigate why cash flows are expected to be low, making debt service for Farmer Bros. more challenging. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 14 |
|
30 |
|
50 |
|
58 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 96 |
|
97 |
|
93 |
|
95 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 5 |
|
10 |
|
6 |
|
8 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 15 |
|
47 |
|
59 |
|
65 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
83 |
|
83 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
100 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
54 |
|
8 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
38 |
|
42 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Farmer Bros. from November 14, 2024.
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