Fact based stock research
FedEx (NYSE:FDX)

US31428X1063

How to read the free ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

FedEx stock research in summary

fedex.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 88 (better than 88% compared with investment alternatives), FedEx (Air Freight & Logistics, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of FedEx are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 79 (better than 79% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 77, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 47). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 88, is a strong buy recommendation based on FedEx's financial characteristics. As the company FedEx's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 79) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 47) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 77), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 79% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	79
Growth Rank	47
Safety Rank	77
Combined Rank	88

Country	USA
Industry	Air Freight & Logistics
Index	Low Emissions, Dividends USA, Energy Efficient, Low Waste, Recycling, S&P 500
Size class	XX-Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: FedEx

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	33	79	82	79
GROWTH
GROWTH	65	4	87	47
SAFETY
SAFETY	27	67	52	77
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	25	63	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	28	94	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 31-Aug-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better FedEx is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	33	79	82	79
GROWTH
GROWTH	65	4	87	47
SAFETY
SAFETY	27	67	52	77
COMBINED
COMBINED	35	42	94	88

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of FedEx the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 79 (better than 79% compared with alternatives) for 2024, FedEx shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for FedEx. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 55, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 55% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning FedEx's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 72% of alternatives. It is also positive for expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 76 (dividends are expected to be higher than 76% of other stocks). But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is higher than average, making the stock more expensive. Only 59% of all competitors have an even higher price compared with book capital which puts the Price-to-Capital Rank for FedEx to 41. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 79, is a buy recommendation based on FedEx's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. A low level of book capital means that the company has a business that is leaner in assets than its competitors. For instance, the company could be leasing its production facilities or be more focussed on intellectual property, such as its brand and software, which is less visible in its book capital. If that is the case, the three good value ranks for Sales, Profits, and Dividends are reliable indicators for the stock price value. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	37	62	64	55
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	59	66	71	72
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	30	45	46	41
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	48	80	75	76
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	33	79	82	79

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of FedEx; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 47 (better than 47% compared with alternatives), FedEx shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for FedEx. While Profit Growth has a good rank of 75, as professionals currently expect the company to grow its profits more than 75% of its competitors, all other growth indicators are below market averages. Sales Growth has a rank of 38, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 62% of its competitors, while Capital Growth has a rank of 40 and Stock Returns have been below market median, with a rank of 47 (53% of alternative investments were better). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 47, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. While revenue growth and capital growth are good growth momentum indicators, profit is less reliable, because profits may increase due to cost-cutting measures which typically indicate negative growth momentum. "You can save a dollar only once" is the saying about such situations. Growth Investors should look at company priorities closely if they are interested in growth, because the increase in profits is not usually an indicator of growth, and stock prices have been below market, too. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	69	24	43	38
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	25	16	81	75
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	35	62	40
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	42	31	89	47
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	65	4	87	47

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of FedEx.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 77 (better than 77% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company FedEx has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of FedEx is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for FedEx. Leverage is at 58, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 58% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 70, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 70% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 74, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 74% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 77 (better than 77% compared with alternatives), FedEx has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with FedEx but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	33	50	52	58
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	61	58	70	70
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	38	70	49	74
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	27	67	52	77

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of FedEx and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	73	77	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	7	5	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	50	82	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	36	64	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	25	63	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for FedEx.
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