Fact based stock research
Fortive (NYSE:FTV)
US34959J1088
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Fortive stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 23 (worse than 77% compared with investment alternatives), Fortive (Industrial Machinery, USA) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Fortive are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 53 (better than 53% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 23), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 42), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 23, is a sell recommendation based on Fortive's financial characteristics. As the company Fortive's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 53) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 23) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 42), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 53% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | USA |
Industry | Industrial Machinery |
Index | Employee Focus US, S&P 500 |
Size class | X-Large |
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Fortive
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 50 |
|
29 |
|
43 |
|
53 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 5 |
|
61 |
|
25 |
|
23 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 5 |
|
4 |
|
38 |
|
42 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
43 |
|
67 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
17 |
|
31 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 23 (worse than 77% compared with investment alternatives), Fortive (Industrial Machinery, USA) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Fortive are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 53 (better than 53% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 23), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 42), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 23, is a sell recommendation based on Fortive's financial characteristics. As the company Fortive's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 53) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 23) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 42), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 53% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 50 |
|
29 |
|
43 |
|
53 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 5 |
|
61 |
|
25 |
|
23 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 5 |
|
4 |
|
38 |
|
42 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 11 |
|
8 |
|
20 |
|
23 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 53 (better than 53% compared with alternatives), Fortive shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Fortive. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) is 71 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 71% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Fortive's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 63, which means that the stock price is lower as regards to invested capital than for 63% of comparable investments. On the other hand, Price-to-Sales is less favorable than for 80% of alternatives (only 20% of peers have an even less favorable ratio). The same is valid for dividend yield, which is lower than for 61% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 53, is a buy recommendation based on Fortive's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a puzzling picture, because it means that profits are high while dividends are low. Since the stock price is low compared with invested capital but high concerning expected revenues, the company has more invested capital than peers for generating the same amount of revenue. Since profits are higher, it could be a "cash cow" situation (using the classic Boston Consulting Group or BCG matrix naming convention) where the company is on a downward trend, still living from the profits of past products. As the company pays low dividends, it may harbor the opinion that a turnaround is possible, and it rather invests the cash than distribute it to shareholders through dividends, thus sealing the company's fate early. Any investment optimism should only be a buy trigger once thorough research is completed. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 26 |
|
13 |
|
11 |
|
20 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 78 |
|
38 |
|
53 |
|
71 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 56 |
|
66 |
|
71 |
|
63 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 36 |
|
35 |
|
41 |
|
39 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 50 |
|
29 |
|
43 |
|
53 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 23 (better than 23% compared with alternatives), Fortive shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for Fortive. While Profit Growth has a good rank of 67, as professionals currently expect the company to grow its profits more than 67% of its competitors, all other growth indicators are below market averages. Sales Growth has a rank of 43, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 57% of its competitors, while Capital Growth has a rank of 31 and Stock Returns have been below market median, with a rank of 29 (71% of alternative investments were better). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 23, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. While revenue growth and capital growth are good growth momentum indicators, profit is less reliable, because profits may increase due to cost-cutting measures which typically indicate negative growth momentum. "You can save a dollar only once" is the saying about such situations. Growth Investors should look at company priorities closely if they are interested in growth, because the increase in profits is not usually an indicator of growth, and stock prices have been below market, too. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 1 |
|
63 |
|
47 |
|
43 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | n/a |
|
67 |
|
51 |
|
67 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
30 |
|
31 |
|
31 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 52 |
|
43 |
|
31 |
|
29 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 5 |
|
61 |
|
25 |
|
23 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 42 (better than 42% compared with alternatives), the company Fortive has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Fortive is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Fortive. Leverage is at a rank of 68, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 68% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 57, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 57% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 7, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 93% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 42 (worse than 58% compared with alternatives), Fortive has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Fortive. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with Fortive and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 22 |
|
44 |
|
70 |
|
68 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 12 |
|
1 |
|
6 |
|
7 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 27 |
|
22 |
|
56 |
|
57 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 5 |
|
4 |
|
38 |
|
42 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
32 |
|
54 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
53 |
|
46 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
35 |
|
76 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
64 |
|
64 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
43 |
|
67 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Fortive from November 14, 2024.
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