Fact based stock research
FP (TSE:7947)

JP3167000003

How to read the free ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

FP stock research in summary

fpco.jp

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 14 (worse than 86% compared with investment alternatives), FP (Metal & Glass Containers, Japan) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of FP are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 45 (worse than 55% of alternatives), show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 11), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 44), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 14, is a sell recommendation based on FP's financial characteristics. As the company FP's key financial metrics all exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 45), low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 11), and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 44), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. Such poor financial performance sometimes indicates that the company's business is all concentrated in some distant future. This is sometimes the case for high-tech or biotechnology companies. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and risky today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts are all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that should only amount to a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	45
Growth Rank	11
Safety Rank	44
Combined Rank	14

Country	Japan
Industry	Metal & Glass Containers
Index
Size class	Large

23-Jan-2025. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Alternative to SMI? Experts Share Their Swiss Investment Strategies

Dr. Hermann Stern, founder and chair of Obermatt, provides insight into the methodology and background of the method, while Daniel Grob, partner at Amasus, shows how the method is made investable for customers. Be there to gain exciting insights and new perspectives. (event held in German)

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: FP

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	27	37	42	45
GROWTH
GROWTH	14	5	23	11
SAFETY
SAFETY	46	47	46	44
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	26	55	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	9	27	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 23-Jan-2025. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better FP is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	27	37	42	45
GROWTH
GROWTH	14	5	23	11
SAFETY
SAFETY	46	47	46	44
COMBINED
COMBINED	14	12	25	14

Last update of combined financial performance: 23-Jan-2025. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of FP the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 45 (worse than 55% compared with alternatives), FP shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where the majority of metrics are below, and only one is above average for FP. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 62, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than 62% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning to FP's revenue size. But all other performance indicators point in a different direction. Dividend yields have a Dividend Yield rank of 44, meaning that dividends are expected to be lower than for 56% of comparable investments. Furthermore, Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than 57% of alternatives (only 43% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E), which is higher than for 75% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 45, is a hold recommendation based on FP's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since Price-to-Sales is a stable value indicator even in challenging times, investing in FP could be seen as a value investment. However, there must be a good reason for the low market-to-book rank. If the company has a typical capital investment practice, the stock may be overvalued because the profit and dividend-related performance indicators are also low. The stock is only good value if investors can expect profits and dividends to pick up in the future. Else, FP looks like an expensive investment today. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	30	55	57	62
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	28	10	39	25
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	31	38	50	43
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	45	29	34	44
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	27	37	42	45

Last update of Value Rank: 23-Jan-2025. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of FP; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 11 (better than 11% compared with alternatives), FP shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for FP. Sales Growth has a below market rank of 30, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 70% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 5, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 38. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 62% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 57, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 57% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 11, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for FP, and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with recent above-market stock returns. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive stock returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	16	31	33	30
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	33	15	55	38
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	23	65	5
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	14	17	5	57
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	14	5	23	11

Last update of Growth Rank: 23-Jan-2025. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of FP.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 44 (better than 44% compared with alternatives), the company FP has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of FP is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for FP. Liquidity is at 88, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 88% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 23, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 77% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 26, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 74% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 44 (worse than 56% compared with alternatives), FP has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	53	26	22	26
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	31	11	31	23
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	54	92	88	88
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	46	47	46	44

Last update of Safety Rank: 23-Jan-2025. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of FP and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	31	46	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	37	71	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	44	50	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	26	55	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 23-Jan-2025. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for FP.
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