Fact based stock research
FreightCar America (NasdaqGS:RAIL)
US3570231007
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
FreightCar America stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 87 (better than 87% compared with investment alternatives), FreightCar America (Heavy Machinery, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of FreightCar America are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 73 (better than 73% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 100) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 19), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 87, is a strong buy recommendation based on FreightCar America's financial characteristics. As the company FreightCar America's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 73) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 100), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 19) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | USA |
Industry | Heavy Machinery |
Index | NASDAQ |
Size class | Medium |
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: FreightCar America
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 57 |
|
63 |
|
72 |
|
73 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 100 |
|
93 |
|
83 |
|
100 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 20 |
|
39 |
|
40 |
|
19 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
4 |
|
4 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
53 |
|
52 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 87 (better than 87% compared with investment alternatives), FreightCar America (Heavy Machinery, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of FreightCar America are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 73 (better than 73% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 100) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 19), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 87, is a strong buy recommendation based on FreightCar America's financial characteristics. As the company FreightCar America's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 73) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 100), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 19) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 57 |
|
63 |
|
72 |
|
73 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 100 |
|
93 |
|
83 |
|
100 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 20 |
|
39 |
|
40 |
|
19 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 62 |
|
84 |
|
74 |
|
87 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 73 (better than 73% compared with alternatives), FreightCar America shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for FreightCar America. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 85, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 85% of comparable companies, indicating a good value regarding FreightCar America's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price to Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 65% of alternatives, and it's also true for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 98. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields are expected to be lower than average; only 1% of all competitors have even lower dividend yields than FreightCar America (a Dividend Yield Rank of 1). 99% alternative investments in the same business provide a higher dividend yield. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 73, is a buy recommendation based on FreightCar America's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The below-average dividend yield may be a good sign, as it could mean the company has more attractive investment opportunities for the generated cash than to pay it out as dividends. A low dividend yield can also indicate a growth phase. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 96 |
|
95 |
|
95 |
|
85 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 17 |
|
42 |
|
79 |
|
65 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 98 |
|
96 |
|
75 |
|
98 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 57 |
|
63 |
|
72 |
|
73 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives) for 2024, FreightCar America shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators above average for FreightCar America. Sales Growth has a value of 62, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 62% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth with a value of 96 and for Capital Growth with 73. In addition, Stock Returns had an above-average rank value of 100, which means they have been higher than 100% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 100, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Since all Growth Ranks are positive, FreightCar America exhibits above-average growth momentum. This could be due to a uniquely strong market position, proprietary technology, or an extensive corporate acquisition strategy. Growth investors will find this an attractive investment opportunity, unless they expect that the current phase is transitory and will deteriorate in the future. The current performance could also be a temporary recovery from a very low point, such as a turn-around situation. In the case of a turn-around, the current performance may or may not be followed by a continuing positive development. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 100 |
|
83 |
|
91 |
|
62 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | 1 |
|
79 |
|
87 |
|
96 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
55 |
|
79 |
|
73 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 96 |
|
83 |
|
15 |
|
100 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 100 |
|
93 |
|
83 |
|
100 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 19 (better than 19% compared with alternatives), the company FreightCar America has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of FreightCar America is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for FreightCar America and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 75, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 75% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 12, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 88% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 22, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 78% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 19 (worse than 81% compared with alternatives), FreightCar America has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for FreightCar America are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with FreightCar America and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 6 |
|
18 |
|
4 |
|
12 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 96 |
|
96 |
|
96 |
|
75 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 15 |
|
7 |
|
29 |
|
22 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 20 |
|
39 |
|
40 |
|
19 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
9 |
|
1 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
50 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
42 |
|
18 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
12 |
|
9 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
4 |
|
4 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for FreightCar America from December 19, 2024.
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