Fact based stock research
Gap (NYSE:GPS)
US3647601083
How to read the free ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Gap stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 85 (better than 85% compared with investment alternatives), Gap (Apparel Retail, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Gap are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 77 (better than 77% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 69), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 60), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 85, is a strong buy recommendation based on Gap's financial characteristics. As the company Gap's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 77), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 69), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 60), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of Gap. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | Apparel Retail |
| Index | Dividends USA, Diversity USA, Human Rights, S&P US Luxury, S&P 500 |
| Size class | XX-Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.
Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Gap
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 91 |
|
91 |
|
60 |
|
77 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 72 |
|
21 |
|
91 |
|
69 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 7 |
|
37 |
|
18 |
|
60 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
5 |
|
62 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
27 |
|
61 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 85 (better than 85% compared with investment alternatives), Gap (Apparel Retail, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Gap are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 77 (better than 77% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 69), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 60), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 85, is a strong buy recommendation based on Gap's financial characteristics. As the company Gap's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 77), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 69), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 60), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of Gap. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 91 |
|
91 |
|
60 |
|
77 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 72 |
|
21 |
|
91 |
|
69 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 7 |
|
37 |
|
18 |
|
60 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 79 |
|
56 |
|
66 |
|
85 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 77 (better than 77% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Gap shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Gap. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) is 71 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 71% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Gap's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 38, which means that the stock price is lower as regards to invested capital than for 38% of comparable investments. On the other hand, Price-to-Sales is less favorable than 54% of alternatives (only 46% of peers have an even less favorable ratio). The same is valid for dividend yield, which is lower than 14% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 77, is a buy recommendation based on Gap's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a puzzling picture, because it means that profits are high while dividends are low. Since the stock price is low compared with invested capital but high in respect to expected revenues, it means that the company has more invested capital than peers for generating the same amount of revenue. Since profits are higher, it could be a "cash cow" situation (using the classic Boston Consulting BCG matrix naming convention) where the company is on a downward trend, still living from the profits of past products. As the company pays low dividends, it may harbor the opinion that a turnaround is possible, and it rather invests the cash than pay it out to shareholders, thus sealing the company's fate early. Any investment optimism should only be a buy trigger once thorough research is completed. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 72 |
|
74 |
|
49 |
|
46 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 79 |
|
55 |
|
42 |
|
71 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 54 |
|
60 |
|
40 |
|
38 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 56 |
|
92 |
|
86 |
|
86 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 91 |
|
91 |
|
60 |
|
77 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 69 (better than 69% compared with alternatives), Gap shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Gap. Profit Growth has a rank of 85 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 85% of its competitors. The same is valid for capital growth and stock returns. Capital Growth has a rank of 52, and Stock Returns has a rank of 67 which means that the stock returns have recently been above 67% of alternative investments. Only revenue growth is low with a Sales Growth has a rank of 25 (75% of its competitors are better). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 69, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The many positive growth indicators indicate a positive growth momentum with only low revenue growth. That can also be attributed to divestments or the sale of unprofitable businesses. If that is the reason, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 45 |
|
27 |
|
34 |
|
25 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 28 |
|
66 |
|
98 |
|
85 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
39 |
|
70 |
|
52 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 42 |
|
11 |
|
97 |
|
67 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 72 |
|
21 |
|
91 |
|
69 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 60 (better than 60% compared with alternatives), the company Gap has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Gap is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for Gap. Refinancing is at 68, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 68% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 58, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 58% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 46, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 54% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 60 (better than 60% compared with alternatives), Gap has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and Gap could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Gap and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 20 |
|
42 |
|
32 |
|
46 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 54 |
|
70 |
|
54 |
|
68 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 24 |
|
18 |
|
11 |
|
58 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 7 |
|
37 |
|
18 |
|
60 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
20 |
|
31 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
53 |
|
72 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
15 |
|
56 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
22 |
|
63 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
5 |
|
62 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Gap from December 19, 2024.
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