Fact based stock research
Gemfields Group (JSE:GML)

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Gemfields Group stock research in summary

gemfieldsgroup.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 82 (better than 82% compared with investment alternatives), Gemfields Group (Precious Metals & Minerals, Guernsey) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Gemfields Group are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 84 (better than 84% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 100, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 22). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 82, is a strong buy recommendation based on Gemfields Group's financial characteristics. As the company Gemfields Group's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 84) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 22) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 100), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 84% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	84
Growth Rank	22
Safety Rank	100
Combined Rank	82

Country	Guernsey
Industry	Precious Metals & Minerals
Index	JSE All Shares
Size class	Small

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Gemfields Group

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	52	47	96	84
GROWTH
GROWTH	100	95	77	22
SAFETY
SAFETY	89	66	98	100
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	94	86	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	97	98	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Gemfields Group is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	52	47	96	84
GROWTH
GROWTH	100	95	77	22
SAFETY
SAFETY	89	66	98	100
COMBINED
COMBINED	92	88	98	82

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Gemfields Group the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 84 (better than 84% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Gemfields Group shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Gemfields Group. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 62, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 62% of comparable companies, indicating a good value regarding Gemfields Group's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price to Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 88% of alternatives, and it's also true for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 91. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields are expected to be lower than average; only 44% of all competitors have even lower dividend yields than Gemfields Group (a Dividend Yield Rank of 44). 56% alternative investments in the same business provide a higher dividend yield. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 84, is a buy recommendation based on Gemfields Group's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The below-average dividend yield may be a good sign, as it could mean the company has more attractive investment opportunities for the generated cash than to pay it out as dividends. A low dividend yield can also indicate a growth phase. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	50	43	49	62
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	69	74	93	88
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	94	94	83	91
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	1	1	100	44
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	52	47	96	84

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Gemfields Group; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 22 (better than 22% compared with alternatives), Gemfields Group shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below-average for Gemfields Group. While Sales Growth ranks at 100, professionals currently expect the company to grow more than 100% of its competitors, while all other growth ranks are below the market median. Profit Growth has a rank of 12, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 88% of its competitors, and Capital Growth has a low rank of 24. Historic stock returns were also below average with a current Stock Returns rank of 20 which means that the stock returns have recently been below 80% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 22, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. If revenues are expected to increase, but all other growth indicators are negative, the company may be investing in future growth through means not visible in the balance sheet and thus not reflected in capital growth. The fact that Stock Returns have been below market doesn't mean that much, as it may be due to overly optimistic investor behavior in the past, which has been corrected to a more reasonable level recently. If that were the case, a positive Value Rank would be a reason to invest because the company is still expected to grow, while stock prices are now at a more reasonable level. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance isn't stellar here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	100	82	94	100
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	n/a	58	73	12
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	39	39	24
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	92	99	41	20
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	100	95	77	22

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Gemfields Group.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Gemfields Group has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Gemfields Group is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Gemfields Group. Leverage is at 89, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 89% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 94, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 94% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 86, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 86% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives), Gemfields Group has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Gemfields Group but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	84	87	94	89
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	90	96	97	94
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	42	1	82	86
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	89	66	98	100

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Gemfields Group and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	64	71	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	88	50	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	86	97	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	94	86	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Gemfields Group.
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