Fact based stock research
Gran Tierra (AMEX:GTE)

US38500T1016

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

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Gran Tierra stock research in summary

grantierra.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 24 (worse than 76% compared with investment alternatives), Gran Tierra (Oil & Gas Production, Canada) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Gran Tierra are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 78 (better than 78% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 20), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 28), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 24, is a sell recommendation based on Gran Tierra's financial characteristics. As the company Gran Tierra's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 78) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 20) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 28), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 78% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	78
Growth Rank	20
Safety Rank	28
Combined Rank	24

Country	Canada
Industry	Oil & Gas Production
Index
Size class	Medium

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Gran Tierra

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	35	59	88	78
GROWTH
GROWTH	39	11	9	20
SAFETY
SAFETY	1	25	1	28
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	55	12	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	19	10	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Gran Tierra is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	35	59	88	78
GROWTH
GROWTH	39	11	9	20
SAFETY
SAFETY	1	25	1	28
COMBINED
COMBINED	6	11	14	24

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Gran Tierra the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 78 (better than 78% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Gran Tierra shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Gran Tierra. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 100, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 100% of comparable companies, indicating a good value regarding Gran Tierra's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price to Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 91% of alternatives, and it's also true for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 95. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields are expected to be lower than average; only 1% of all competitors have even lower dividend yields than Gran Tierra (a Dividend Yield Rank of 1). 99% alternative investments in the same business provide a higher dividend yield. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 78, is a buy recommendation based on Gran Tierra's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The below-average dividend yield may be a good sign, as it could mean the company has more attractive investment opportunities for the generated cash than to pay it out as dividends. A low dividend yield can also indicate a growth phase. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	91	98	100	100
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	8	97	95	91
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	65	72	100	95
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	1	1	1	1
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	35	59	88	78

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Gran Tierra; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 20 (better than 20% compared with alternatives), Gran Tierra shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Gran Tierra. Sales Growth has a rank of 59 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 59% of its competitors. Stock Returns are also above average with a rank of 64. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 12, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 88% of its competitors. Profit Growth is also low, with a rank of only 10, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits below average. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 20, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is a surprising picture, as the messages from the operating growth indicators of revenues, profits, and invested capital are mixed, while stock returns are above average. It may indicate new intellectual properties, such as brand improvement or a strong market position that shows in revenues but not in the capital. The low profit-growth rate may indicate an early phase where costs are still high, and revenues don't fully cover upfront investments or fixed costs. The positive investor outlook with a 64% peer outperformance is reaffirmed in this case which may be a good sign for an investment into a well-protected high-growth company. This fact needs to be confirmed by researching the company website and press. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	29	84	52	59
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	26	11	31	10
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	18	32	12
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	71	25	5	64
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	39	11	9	20

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Gran Tierra.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 28 (better than 28% compared with alternatives), the company Gran Tierra has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Gran Tierra is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Gran Tierra and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 100, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 100% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 7, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 93% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 12, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 88% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 28 (worse than 72% compared with alternatives), Gran Tierra has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Gran Tierra are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Gran Tierra and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	1	11	6	7
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	8	89	4	100
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	15	23	13	12
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	1	25	1	28

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Gran Tierra and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	8	24	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	63	4	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	54	15	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	55	12	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Gran Tierra.
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