Fact based stock research
Greenbrier (NYSE:GBX)

US3936571013

How to read the free ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Greenbrier stock research in summary

gbrx.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with investment alternatives), Greenbrier (Heavy Machinery, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Greenbrier are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 93 (better than 93% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 55, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 35). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 96, is a strong buy recommendation based on Greenbrier's financial characteristics. As the company Greenbrier's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 93) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 35) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 55), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 93% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	93
Growth Rank	35
Safety Rank	55
Combined Rank	96

Country	USA
Industry	Heavy Machinery
Index	Dividends USA, SDG 12, SDG 3, SDG 8
Size class	Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

28-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

Why popular stocks have low ratings

It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.

Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Greenbrier

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	72	99	98	93
GROWTH
GROWTH	17	77	35	35
SAFETY
SAFETY	45	55	55	55
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	40	28	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	89	50	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 28-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 31-Aug-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Greenbrier is in the corresponding investment strategy.
Upgrade to a Premium Account to access the latest ranks.

Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	72	99	98	93
GROWTH
GROWTH	17	77	35	35
SAFETY
SAFETY	45	55	55	55
COMBINED
COMBINED	33	96	96	96

Last update of combined financial performance: 10-Nov-2022. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Greenbrier the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 93 (better than 93% compared with alternatives) for 2022, Greenbrier shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Greenbrier. Price-to-Sales is 73 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 73% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Greenbrier's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 80% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 74. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Greenbrier are expected to be higher than for 92% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 92). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 93, is a buy recommendation based on Greenbrier's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Greenbrier based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	67	83	78	73
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	44	77	74	80
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	76	86	79	74
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	76	97	98	92
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	72	99	98	93

Last update of Value Rank: 28-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Greenbrier; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 35 (better than 35% compared with alternatives), Greenbrier shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Greenbrier. Sales Growth has a below market rank of 18, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 82% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 45, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 33. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 67% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 86, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 86% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 35, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for Greenbrier, and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with recent above-market stock returns. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive stock returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	2	67	6	18
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	63	88	67	33
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	13	39	45
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	84	77	57	86
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	17	77	35	35

Last update of Growth Rank: 28-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Greenbrier.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 55 (better than 55% compared with alternatives), the company Greenbrier has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Greenbrier is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Greenbrier and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 87, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 87% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 29, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 71% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 46, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 54% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 55 (better than 55% compared with alternatives), Greenbrier has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Greenbrier are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Greenbrier and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	12	34	26	29
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	86	87	87	87
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	45	34	38	46
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	45	55	55	55

Last update of Safety Rank: 10-Nov-2022. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Greenbrier and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	85	28	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	3	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	60	41	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	20	42	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	40	28	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 28-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Greenbrier.
Upgrade to a Premium Account to access the latest ranks.