Fact based stock research
Grenke (XTRA:GLJ)
DE000A161N30
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
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Grenke stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 76 (better than 76% compared with investment alternatives), Grenke (Specialized Finance, Germany) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Grenke are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 87 (better than 87% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 55, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 17). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 76, is a strong buy recommendation based on Grenke's financial characteristics. As the company Grenke's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 87) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 17) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 55), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 87% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Grenke
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 20 |
|
56 |
|
74 |
|
87 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 15 |
|
13 |
|
79 |
|
17 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 39 |
|
52 |
|
52 |
|
55 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
77 |
|
26 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
55 |
|
80 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 76 (better than 76% compared with investment alternatives), Grenke (Specialized Finance, Germany) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Grenke are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 87 (better than 87% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 55, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 17). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 76, is a strong buy recommendation based on Grenke's financial characteristics. As the company Grenke's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 87) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 17) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 55), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 87% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 20 |
|
56 |
|
74 |
|
87 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 15 |
|
13 |
|
79 |
|
17 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 39 |
|
52 |
|
52 |
|
55 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 3 |
|
20 |
|
94 |
|
76 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 87 (better than 87% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Grenke shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Grenke. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 87, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 87% of comparable companies, indicating a good value regarding Grenke's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price to Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 87% of alternatives, and it's also true for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 87. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields are expected to be lower than average; only 33% of all competitors have even lower dividend yields than Grenke (a Dividend Yield Rank of 33). 67% alternative investments in the same business provide a higher dividend yield. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 87, is a buy recommendation based on Grenke's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The below-average dividend yield may be a good sign, as it could mean the company has more attractive investment opportunities for the generated cash than to pay it out as dividends. A low dividend yield can also indicate a growth phase. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 28 |
|
73 |
|
75 |
|
87 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 35 |
|
34 |
|
57 |
|
87 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 55 |
|
68 |
|
74 |
|
87 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 21 |
|
22 |
|
27 |
|
33 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 20 |
|
56 |
|
74 |
|
87 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 17 (better than 17% compared with alternatives), Grenke shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below-average for Grenke. While Sales Growth ranks at 63, professionals currently expect the company to grow more than 63% of its competitors, while all other growth ranks are below the market median. Profit Growth has a rank of 13, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 87% of its competitors, and Capital Growth has a low rank of 25. Historic stock returns were also below average with a current Stock Returns rank of 5 which means that the stock returns have recently been below 95% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 17, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. If revenues are expected to increase, but all other growth indicators are negative, the company may be investing in future growth through means not visible in the balance sheet and thus not reflected in capital growth. The fact that Stock Returns have been below market doesn't mean that much, as it may be due to overly optimistic investor behavior in the past, which has been corrected to a more reasonable level recently. If that were the case, a positive Value Rank would be a reason to invest because the company is still expected to grow, while stock prices are now at a more reasonable level. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance isn't stellar here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 31 |
|
42 |
|
66 |
|
63 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 33 |
|
46 |
|
55 |
|
13 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
12 |
|
64 |
|
25 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 38 |
|
15 |
|
74 |
|
5 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 15 |
|
13 |
|
79 |
|
17 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 55 (better than 55% compared with alternatives), the company Grenke has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Grenke is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Grenke and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 79, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 79% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 13, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 87% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 42, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 58% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 55 (better than 55% compared with alternatives), Grenke has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Grenke are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Grenke and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 24 |
|
13 |
|
13 |
|
13 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 85 |
|
75 |
|
75 |
|
79 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 36 |
|
48 |
|
50 |
|
42 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 39 |
|
52 |
|
52 |
|
55 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
25 |
|
17 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
25 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
92 |
|
32 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
68 |
|
91 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
77 |
|
26 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Grenke from December 19, 2024.
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