Fact based stock research
Guardant Health (NasdaqGS:GH)

US40131M1099

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Guardant Health stock research in summary

guardanthealth.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 76 (better than 76% compared with investment alternatives), Guardant Health (Health Care Services, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Guardant Health are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 74 (better than 74% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 89) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 10), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 76, is a strong buy recommendation based on Guardant Health's financial characteristics. As the company Guardant Health's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 74) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 89), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 10) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	74
Growth Rank	89
Safety Rank	10
Combined Rank	76

Country	USA
Industry	Health Care Services
Index	NASDAQ
Size class	Medium

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Guardant Health

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	4	10	6	74
GROWTH
GROWTH	62	14	82	89
SAFETY
SAFETY	10	26	14	10
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	20	37	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	1	12	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Guardant Health is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	4	10	6	74
GROWTH
GROWTH	62	14	82	89
SAFETY
SAFETY	10	26	14	10
COMBINED
COMBINED	12	1	10	76

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Guardant Health the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 74 (better than 74% compared with alternatives), Guardant Health shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators where three out of four are below average for Guardant Health. Only the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) indicates good stock value with a Price-to-Book Rank of 100, which means that the stock price is lower compared with invested capital than for 100% of comparable investments. All other value indicators are below the market median. Price-to-Sales is 41 which means the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 59% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Guardant Health's revenue levels. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 100 and for the dividend yields rank which is lower than for 99% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to with the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 74, is a buy recommendation based on Guardant Health's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Why are market participants paying such a high price for Guardant Health, where three out of four value indicators are below par? One reason could be that the company is well financed, indicated by the high book capital level, and has a promising future that is not yet visible in reported revenues and profits. That would also explain the low dividend yield because the company needs the cash to invest in its future. If investors can verify a picture in this sense, the stock may still be a good investment, even though current company-reported financials don't fully explain current stock prices. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	33	3	7	41
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	6	4	3	3
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	8	11	3	100
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	1	1	1	1
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	4	10	6	74

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Guardant Health; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 89 (better than 89% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Guardant Health shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators above average for Guardant Health. Sales Growth has a value of 78, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 78% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth with a value of 57 and for Capital Growth with 85. In addition, Stock Returns had an above-average rank value of 61, which means they have been higher than 61% of comparable investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 89, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Since all Growth Ranks are positive, Guardant Health exhibits above-average growth momentum. This could be due to a uniquely strong market position, proprietary technology, or an extensive corporate acquisition strategy. Growth investors will find this an attractive investment opportunity, unless they expect that the current phase is transitory and will deteriorate in the future. The current performance could also be a temporary recovery from a very low point, such as a turn-around situation. In the case of a turn-around, the current performance may or may not be followed by a continuing positive development. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	65	72	89	78
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	n/a	19	73	57
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	18	97	85
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	62	22	32	61
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	62	14	82	89

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Guardant Health.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 10 (better than 10% compared with alternatives), the company Guardant Health has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Guardant Health is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Guardant Health and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 65, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 65% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 5, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 95% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 10, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 90% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 10 (worse than 90% compared with alternatives), Guardant Health has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Guardant Health are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Guardant Health and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	24	31	5	5
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	64	76	80	65
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	13	9	9	10
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	10	26	14	10

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Guardant Health and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	81	72	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	43	47	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	12	10	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	15	29	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	20	37	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Guardant Health.
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