Fact based stock research
Halfords (LSE:HFD)
GB00B012TP20
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Halfords stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 77 (better than 77% compared with investment alternatives), Halfords (Automotive Retail, United Kingdom) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Halfords are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 88 (better than 88% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 63, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 22). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 77, is a strong buy recommendation based on Halfords's financial characteristics. As the company Halfords's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 88) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 22) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 63), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 88% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | United Kingdom |
| Industry | Automotive Retail |
| Index | FTSE All Shares, Employee Focus EU, Diversity Europe, Human Rights, Low Waste, Recycling |
| Size class | Large |
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Halfords
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 50 |
|
83 |
|
84 |
|
88 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 34 |
|
59 |
|
21 |
|
22 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 25 |
|
70 |
|
63 |
|
63 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
43 |
|
24 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
77 |
|
41 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 77 (better than 77% compared with investment alternatives), Halfords (Automotive Retail, United Kingdom) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Halfords are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 88 (better than 88% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 63, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 22). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 77, is a strong buy recommendation based on Halfords's financial characteristics. As the company Halfords's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 88) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 22) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 63), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 88% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 50 |
|
83 |
|
84 |
|
88 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 34 |
|
59 |
|
21 |
|
22 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 25 |
|
70 |
|
63 |
|
63 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 61 |
|
92 |
|
70 |
|
77 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 88 (better than 88% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Halfords shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where three out of four indicators are above average for Halfords. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 77 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 77% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Halfords's revenue size. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 83. Finally, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Halfords are expected to be higher than for 75% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 75). The only low rank is for expected profits with a Price-to-Profit Rank of 46, indicating that the market expects the company's profit to be low despite a high dividend. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 88, is a buy recommendation based on Halfords's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The low Profit Rank could result from a one-off charge, for instance, for an accident, a legal settlement, or a restructuring project. If the company keeps its dividends high, the low expected profit may be transitory. If that is the case, the three good value ranks for Sales, Capital, and Dividends are reliable indicators for good stock price value, a low stock price. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 68 |
|
64 |
|
62 |
|
77 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 79 |
|
68 |
|
60 |
|
46 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 51 |
|
69 |
|
69 |
|
83 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 82 |
|
68 |
|
82 |
|
75 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 50 |
|
83 |
|
84 |
|
88 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 22 (better than 22% compared with alternatives), Halfords shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Halfords. Only Capital Growth has a good rank of 93, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 25% of its competitors. The other three indicators are pointing South: Sales Growth has a rank of 20 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 80% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 25 and Stock Returns with a rank of 18 are also low (below 82% of alternative investments). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 22, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The good news from the invested capital side is surprising. A company with disappointing revenues, profits, and disappointed shareholders typically doesn't invest above average. Overall, the growth momentum for Halfords is thus negative. As it is intriguing to see that company executives are optimistic about their investment policy, it is worthwhile looking into the details of the capital investment projects. They may indicate future growth and profits and thus if accompanied by a good value, a sign of good timing to invest in the stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 62 |
|
53 |
|
31 |
|
20 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 29 |
|
22 |
|
37 |
|
25 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
65 |
|
22 |
|
93 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 41 |
|
73 |
|
60 |
|
18 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 34 |
|
59 |
|
21 |
|
22 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 63 (better than 63% compared with alternatives), the company Halfords has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Halfords is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Halfords. Leverage is at a rank of 67, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 67% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 67, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 67% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 22, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 78% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 63 (better than 63% compared with alternatives), Halfords has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Halfords. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with Halfords and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 62 |
|
64 |
|
73 |
|
67 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 16 |
|
31 |
|
28 |
|
22 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 69 |
|
76 |
|
63 |
|
67 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 25 |
|
70 |
|
63 |
|
63 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
93 |
|
34 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
3 |
|
1 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
6 |
|
33 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
86 |
|
83 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
43 |
|
24 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Halfords from December 19, 2024.
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