Fact based stock research
Hawaiian (NasdaqGS:HA)

US4198791018

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Hawaiian stock research in summary

hawaiianairlines.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 82 (better than 82% compared with investment alternatives), Hawaiian (Airlines, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Hawaiian are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 67 (better than 67% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 87) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 26), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 82, is a strong buy recommendation based on Hawaiian's financial characteristics. As the company Hawaiian's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 67) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 87), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 26) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	67
Growth Rank	87
Safety Rank	26
Combined Rank	82

Country	USA
Industry	Airlines
Index	Sound Pay USA, NASDAQ
Size class	Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

26-Sep-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Hawaiian

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	29	51	20	67
GROWTH
GROWTH	50	84	95	87
SAFETY
SAFETY	11	45	34	26
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	7	10	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	42	19	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 26-Sep-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Hawaiian is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	29	51	20	67
GROWTH
GROWTH	50	84	95	87
SAFETY
SAFETY	11	45	34	26
COMBINED
COMBINED	16	70	38	82

Last update of combined financial performance: 26-Sep-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Hawaiian the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 67 (better than 67% compared with alternatives), Hawaiian shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for Hawaiian. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 83, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 83% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Hawaiian's revenue size. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio), which is more favorable than for 97% of alternatives (3% of peers have a higher ratio). But expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 1 are lower than average (dividends are expected to be lower than 99% of other stocks) while the Price to Profit ratio (or Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio) is higher than average with a Price-to-Profit Rank of 1, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 67, is a buy recommendation based on Hawaiian's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Low profits and low dividends as seen here for Hawaiian may indicate a restructuring phase. This could be transitory, making the company a good value when profits recover and dividends return to higher levels. If the stock price is compared with the size indicators for revenue and invested capital, it is on the lower side, making this stock a good value investment (apart from current profit and dividend expectations). We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	92	83	89	83
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	20	12	1	1
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	49	55	3	97
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	1	1	1	1
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	29	51	20	67

Last update of Value Rank: 26-Sep-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Hawaiian; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 87 (better than 87% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Hawaiian shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Hawaiian. Sales Growth has a rank of 59 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 59% of its competitors. Both Profit Growth, with a rank of 79, and Stock Returns, with a rank of 100, are also above average. But Capital Growth only has a rank of 35, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 65% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 87, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That may be a good sign if the company is already well positioned and doesn't require more investments at this time. They may focus on growing the top (revenues) and bottom (profits) lines, recently rewarded with above-average stock returns for shareholders. But it may also be a sign of danger as the company is falling back with capital investment activities concerning competition. This requires further analysis of corporate communications. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	21	94	81	59
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	21	25	21	79
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	98	100	35
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	82	43	85	100
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	50	84	95	87

Last update of Growth Rank: 26-Sep-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Hawaiian.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 26 (better than 26% compared with alternatives), the company Hawaiian has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Hawaiian is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Hawaiian and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 89, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 89% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 8, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 92% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 6, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 94% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 26 (worse than 74% compared with alternatives), Hawaiian has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Hawaiian are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Hawaiian and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	37	24	8	8
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	2	95	95	89
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	5	12	8	6
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	11	45	34	26

Last update of Safety Rank: 26-Sep-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Hawaiian and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	12	29	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	17	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	47	26	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	8	15	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	7	10	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 26-Sep-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Hawaiian.
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