Fact based stock research
Blue Bird (NasdaqGM:BLBD)

US0953061068

How to read the free ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Blue Bird stock research in summary

blue-bird.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 15 (worse than 85% compared with investment alternatives), Blue Bird (Heavy Machinery, USA) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Blue Bird are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 17 (worse than 83% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 48) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 53), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 15, is a sell recommendation based on Blue Bird's financial characteristics. As the company Blue Bird's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 17) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 48), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 53) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	17
Growth Rank	48
Safety Rank	53
Combined Rank	15

Country	USA
Industry	Heavy Machinery
Index	NASDAQ
Size class	Large

15-May-2025. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

Why popular stocks have low ratings

It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.

Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Blue Bird

RESEARCH HISTORY	2022	2023	2024	2025
VALUE
VALUE	35	12	19	17
GROWTH
GROWTH	23	93	63	48
SAFETY
SAFETY	1	1	53	53
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	10	84	100	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	1	42	75	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 15-May-2025. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 28-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Blue Bird is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2022	2023	2024	2025
VALUE
VALUE	35	12	19	17
GROWTH
GROWTH	23	93	63	48
SAFETY
SAFETY	1	1	53	53
COMBINED
COMBINED	1	16	37	15

Last update of combined financial performance: 15-May-2025. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Blue Bird the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 17 (worse than 83% compared with alternatives), Blue Bird shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Blue Bird. Only Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) indicates good stock value with a rank of 83, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 83% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Blue Bird's profit levels. But Price-to-Sales is 48 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than for 52% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Blue Bird's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 4 and for dividend yield, which is lower than for 99% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 17, is a sell recommendation based on Blue Bird's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Can we rely on only one good value indicator? Only if we know the company well. In this case, a high Price-to-Profit Rank, while Price-to-Sales and Price-to-Book are both below the market typical levels, means that the company can charge higher prices for its products and needs less capital to produce them. If this is sustainable, then Blue Bird is a good investment because profits count most in enterprise valuations. The low dividend yield indicates that the company is confident it can do something with the generated cash that is more valuable than paying the profits out to the shareholders in the form of dividends. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	80	59	47	48
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	3	58	90	83
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	100	1	6	4
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	1	1	1	1
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	35	12	19	17

Last update of Value Rank: 15-May-2025. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Blue Bird; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 48 (better than 48% compared with alternatives), Blue Bird shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Blue Bird. Sales Growth has a rank of 75, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 75% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 76 is also above average. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 4, and Stock Returns with 35 are also below-average. Stock returns for Blue Bird have recently been below 65% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 48, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Are investors forecasting troubles based on the lack of operating investment activity at the company? This could be one explanation as to why stock returns are low. But stock returns can also be the result of correcting an error in the past, in this case, an overly optimistic outlook on the future, which is now more realistic. The Value Ranks may confirm such a picture. The more important growth indicators are revenues and profits, which are both above average for Blue Bird. This is a positive sign from the company's operational side and may give investors courage, despite the poor recent stock price performance. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with the Obermatt Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	92	83	73	75
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	29	88	74	76
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	36	31	1	4
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	19	100	69	35
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	23	93	63	48

Last update of Growth Rank: 15-May-2025. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Blue Bird.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 53 (better than 53% compared with alternatives), the company Blue Bird has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Blue Bird is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Blue Bird. Liquidity is at 81, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 81% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 21, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 79% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 48, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 52% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 53 (better than 53% compared with alternatives), Blue Bird has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	2	4	48	48
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	12	4	25	21
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	34	38	82	81
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	1	1	53	53

Last update of Safety Rank: 15-May-2025. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Blue Bird and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2022	2023	2024	2025
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	80	89	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	50	100	75	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	36	62	88	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	2	23	38	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	10	84	100	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 15-May-2025. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Blue Bird.
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