Fact based stock research
Hexcel (NYSE:HXL)
US4282911084
How to read the free ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Hexcel stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 77 (better than 77% compared with investment alternatives), Hexcel (Aerospace & Defense, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Hexcel are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 27 (worse than 73% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 65) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 90, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 77, is a strong buy recommendation based on Hexcel's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Hexcel exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 27), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 65). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 90) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
Latest Obermatt Ranks
Log in or sign up to see the new 360° View and Sentiment ranks.
360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | Aerospace & Defense |
| Index | D.J. US Defense, S&P MIDCAP |
| Size class | Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.
Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Hexcel
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 13 |
|
25 |
|
14 |
|
27 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 13 |
|
53 |
|
85 |
|
65 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 29 |
|
19 |
|
49 |
|
90 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
28 |
|
42 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
10 |
|
45 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 77 (better than 77% compared with investment alternatives), Hexcel (Aerospace & Defense, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Hexcel are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 27 (worse than 73% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 65) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 90, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 77, is a strong buy recommendation based on Hexcel's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Hexcel exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 27), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 65). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 90) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 13 |
|
25 |
|
14 |
|
27 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 13 |
|
53 |
|
85 |
|
65 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 29 |
|
19 |
|
49 |
|
90 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 5 |
|
12 |
|
48 |
|
77 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 27 (worse than 73% compared with alternatives), Hexcel shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Hexcel. Only the metric dividend yield has an above-average rank, reflecting that dividend practices are expected to be higher than 53% of comparable companies, making the stock an attractive buy for dividend investors. However, dividend investors may get disappointed because all other critical financial indicators are below the market median: Price-to-Sales is 26 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 74% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Hexcel's sales levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a rank of 37 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profit levels is higher than 63% of comparable companies. In addition, Price-to-Book (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 41 is also low. Compared with invested capital, the stock price is higher than for 59% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 27, is a hold recommendation based on Hexcel's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Should dividend investors pick Hexcel? The company-reported financials speak against it. The company is expensive compared with revenue and invested capital levels, two reliable company size indicators. In addition, it currently has a low level of profits. How can future dividends be paid in the case that profits remain low? Dividend investors should choose Hexcel only if they reasonably expect the low current profit levels to be transitory. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 44 |
|
23 |
|
17 |
|
26 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 12 |
|
7 |
|
17 |
|
37 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 43 |
|
46 |
|
26 |
|
41 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
45 |
|
46 |
|
53 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 13 |
|
25 |
|
14 |
|
27 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 65 (better than 65% compared with alternatives), Hexcel shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Hexcel. Sales Growth has a value of 78 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 78% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a value of 50 and Capital Growth with a rank of 77 means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow both profits and invested capital more than of its competitors. But Stock Returns has only a rank of 15, which means that stock returns have recently been below 85% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 65, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Hexcel has only one below-average growth indicator, the stock returns. This is probably the least reliable growth indicator, because it measures company and investor expectations at the same time. The three other growth indicators, which are all positive for Hexcel, are more reliable measures of growth momentum. For this reason, the company seems to be on a good trajectory, unless you think the current period is not representative, because of unique events that will not be repeated in the future. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 5 |
|
84 |
|
88 |
|
78 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 72 |
|
23 |
|
96 |
|
50 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
43 |
|
23 |
|
77 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 80 |
|
57 |
|
69 |
|
15 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 13 |
|
53 |
|
85 |
|
65 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 90 (better than 90% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Hexcel has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Hexcel is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Hexcel. Leverage is at a rank of 81, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 81% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 65, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 65% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 42, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 58% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 90 (better than 90% compared with alternatives), Hexcel has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Hexcel. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with Hexcel and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 27 |
|
64 |
|
71 |
|
81 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 57 |
|
19 |
|
22 |
|
42 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 39 |
|
23 |
|
45 |
|
65 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 29 |
|
19 |
|
49 |
|
90 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
9 |
|
30 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
54 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
70 |
|
70 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
28 |
|
43 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
28 |
|
42 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Hexcel from November 14, 2024.
Obermatt Portfolio Performance
We’re so convinced about our free research, that we buy our stock tips.
See the performance of the Obermatt portfolio.