Fact based stock research
Horizon (NasdaqGS:HBNC)
US4404071049
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Horizon stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 48 (worse than 52% compared with investment alternatives), Horizon (Regional Banks, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Horizon are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 75 (better than 75% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 75) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 1), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 48, is a hold recommendation based on Horizon's financial characteristics. As the company Horizon's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 75) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 75), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 1) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | Regional Banks |
| Index | Dividends USA, Sound Pay USA, NASDAQ |
| Size class | XX-Large |
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Horizon
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 58 |
|
47 |
|
65 |
|
75 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 14 |
|
55 |
|
25 |
|
75 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 77 |
|
53 |
|
10 |
|
1 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
93 |
|
10 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
83 |
|
8 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 48 (worse than 52% compared with investment alternatives), Horizon (Regional Banks, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Horizon are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 75 (better than 75% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 75) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 1), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 48, is a hold recommendation based on Horizon's financial characteristics. As the company Horizon's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 75) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 75), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 1) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 58 |
|
47 |
|
65 |
|
75 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 14 |
|
55 |
|
25 |
|
75 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 77 |
|
53 |
|
10 |
|
1 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 67 |
|
47 |
|
20 |
|
48 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 75 (better than 75% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Horizon shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Horizon. Price-to-Sales is 56 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 56% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Horizon's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 74% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 61. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Horizon are expected to be higher than for 83% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 83). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 75, is a buy recommendation based on Horizon's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Horizon based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 38 |
|
40 |
|
48 |
|
56 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 57 |
|
66 |
|
52 |
|
74 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 43 |
|
25 |
|
75 |
|
61 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 53 |
|
87 |
|
84 |
|
83 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 58 |
|
47 |
|
65 |
|
75 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 75 (better than 75% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Horizon shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Horizon. Sales Growth has a rank of 86 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 86% of its competitors. Stock Returns are also above average with a rank of 97. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 21, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 79% of its competitors. Profit Growth is also low, with a rank of only 49, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits below average. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 75, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is a surprising picture, as the messages from the operating growth indicators of revenues, profits, and invested capital are mixed, while stock returns are above average. It may indicate new intellectual properties, such as brand improvement or a strong market position that shows in revenues but not in the capital. The low profit-growth rate may indicate an early phase where costs are still high, and revenues don't fully cover upfront investments or fixed costs. The positive investor outlook with a 97% peer outperformance is reaffirmed in this case which may be a good sign for an investment into a well-protected high-growth company. This fact needs to be confirmed by researching the company website and press. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 6 |
|
65 |
|
65 |
|
86 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 9 |
|
34 |
|
6 |
|
49 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
41 |
|
37 |
|
21 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 43 |
|
75 |
|
51 |
|
97 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 14 |
|
55 |
|
25 |
|
75 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 1 (better than 1% compared with alternatives), the company Horizon has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Horizon is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Horizon. Liquidity is at 58, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 58% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 12, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 88% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 1, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 99% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 1 (worse than 99% compared with alternatives), Horizon has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 51 |
|
74 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 63 |
|
10 |
|
10 |
|
12 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 31 |
|
59 |
|
73 |
|
58 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 77 |
|
53 |
|
10 |
|
1 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
97 |
|
68 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
5 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
89 |
|
22 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
30 |
|
7 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
93 |
|
10 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Horizon from November 14, 2024.
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