Fact based stock research
Hub Group (NasdaqGS:HUBG)
US4433201062
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Hub Group stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 94 (better than 94% compared with investment alternatives), Hub Group (Air Freight & Logistics, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Hub Group are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 69 (better than 69% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 71), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 96), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 94, is a strong buy recommendation based on Hub Group's financial characteristics. As the company Hub Group's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 69), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 71), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 96), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of Hub Group. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | Air Freight & Logistics |
| Index | NASDAQ |
| Size class | X-Large |
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Hub Group
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 38 |
|
53 |
|
65 |
|
69 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 76 |
|
60 |
|
1 |
|
71 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 89 |
|
87 |
|
98 |
|
96 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
63 |
|
72 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
80 |
|
70 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 94 (better than 94% compared with investment alternatives), Hub Group (Air Freight & Logistics, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Hub Group are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 69 (better than 69% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 71), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 96), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 94, is a strong buy recommendation based on Hub Group's financial characteristics. As the company Hub Group's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 69), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 71), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 96), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of Hub Group. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 38 |
|
53 |
|
65 |
|
69 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 76 |
|
60 |
|
1 |
|
71 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 89 |
|
87 |
|
98 |
|
96 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 71 |
|
82 |
|
56 |
|
94 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 69 (better than 69% compared with alternatives), Hub Group shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where three out of four indicators are above average for Hub Group. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 69 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 69% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Hub Group's revenue size. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 66. Finally, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Hub Group are expected to be higher than for 57% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 57). The only low rank is for expected profits with a Price-to-Profit Rank of 39, indicating that the market expects the company's profit to be low despite a high dividend. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 69, is a buy recommendation based on Hub Group's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The low Profit Rank could result from a one-off charge, for instance, for an accident, a legal settlement, or a restructuring project. If the company keeps its dividends high, the low expected profit may be transitory. If that is the case, the three good value ranks for Sales, Capital, and Dividends are reliable indicators for good stock price value, a low stock price. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 90 |
|
76 |
|
71 |
|
69 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 41 |
|
52 |
|
48 |
|
39 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 41 |
|
62 |
|
54 |
|
66 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
1 |
|
39 |
|
57 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 38 |
|
53 |
|
65 |
|
69 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 71 (better than 71% compared with alternatives), Hub Group shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Hub Group. Sales Growth has a rank of 56 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 56% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 27% of competitors with a rank of 90, and Stock Returns with the rank of 63 is also an outperformance. Only Profit Growth is low with a rank of 27 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 73% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 71, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. All three operating growth indicators, namely revenue, profit, and capital growth, are showing improvements. This is a good indication of a company with a positive future. That might, at the same time, be the simple reason why profit growth is low. A growing company needs money and thus can't yet show high profit growth. Look out for signs in corporate communication about extra growth efforts costing time and money. If that is the case, Hub Group is a good growth stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 56 |
|
70 |
|
17 |
|
56 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 17 |
|
63 |
|
21 |
|
27 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
7 |
|
12 |
|
90 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 80 |
|
73 |
|
51 |
|
63 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 76 |
|
60 |
|
1 |
|
71 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Hub Group has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Hub Group is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Hub Group. Leverage is at 82, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 82% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 74, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 74% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 84, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 84% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with alternatives), Hub Group has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Hub Group but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 82 |
|
80 |
|
86 |
|
82 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 65 |
|
58 |
|
86 |
|
74 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 79 |
|
76 |
|
90 |
|
84 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 89 |
|
87 |
|
98 |
|
96 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
3 |
|
56 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
12 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
98 |
|
34 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
96 |
|
100 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
63 |
|
72 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Hub Group from November 14, 2024.
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