Fact based stock research
Ichibanya (TSE:7630)
JP3142150006
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Ichibanya stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 47 (worse than 53% compared with investment alternatives), Ichibanya (Restaurants, Japan) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Ichibanya are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 5 (worse than 95% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 53) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 90, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 47, is a hold recommendation based on Ichibanya's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Ichibanya exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 5), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 53). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 90) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | Japan |
| Industry | Restaurants |
| Index | |
| Size class | Medium |
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Ichibanya
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 34 |
|
5 |
|
5 |
|
5 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 1 |
|
73 |
|
47 |
|
53 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 96 |
|
84 |
|
88 |
|
90 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
58 |
|
19 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
63 |
|
22 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 47 (worse than 53% compared with investment alternatives), Ichibanya (Restaurants, Japan) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Ichibanya are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 5 (worse than 95% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 53) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 90, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 47, is a hold recommendation based on Ichibanya's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Ichibanya exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 5), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 53). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 90) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 34 |
|
5 |
|
5 |
|
5 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 1 |
|
73 |
|
47 |
|
53 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 96 |
|
84 |
|
88 |
|
90 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 40 |
|
56 |
|
41 |
|
47 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 5 (worse than 95% compared with alternatives), Ichibanya shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for Ichibanya. Price-to-Sales is 9 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 91% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Ichibanya's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 16, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of Ichibanya. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 3 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 71% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 5, is a sell recommendation based on Ichibanya's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for Ichibanya? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as Ichibanya? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. Ichibanya may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 30 |
|
16 |
|
9 |
|
9 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 36 |
|
5 |
|
3 |
|
3 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 42 |
|
22 |
|
14 |
|
16 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 48 |
|
37 |
|
29 |
|
29 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 34 |
|
5 |
|
5 |
|
5 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 53 (better than 53% compared with alternatives), Ichibanya shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Ichibanya. Sales Growth has a rank of 81, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 81% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 53 is also above average. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 33, and Stock Returns with 37 are also below-average. Stock returns for Ichibanya have recently been below 63% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 53, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Are investors forecasting troubles based on the lack of operating investment activity at the company? This could be one explanation as to why stock returns are low. But stock returns can also be the result of correcting an error in the past, in this case, an overly optimistic outlook on the future, which is now more realistic. The Value Ranks may confirm such a picture. The more important growth indicators are revenues and profits, which are both above average for Ichibanya. This is a positive sign from the company's operational side and may give investors courage, despite the poor recent stock price performance. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with the Obermatt Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 15 |
|
58 |
|
41 |
|
81 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 50 |
|
64 |
|
37 |
|
53 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
95 |
|
62 |
|
33 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 4 |
|
25 |
|
49 |
|
37 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 1 |
|
73 |
|
47 |
|
53 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 90 (better than 90% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Ichibanya has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Ichibanya is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Ichibanya. Leverage is at 91, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 91% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 57, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 57% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 90, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 90% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 90 (better than 90% compared with alternatives), Ichibanya has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Ichibanya but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 98 |
|
86 |
|
88 |
|
91 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 40 |
|
59 |
|
59 |
|
57 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 100 |
|
88 |
|
86 |
|
90 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 96 |
|
84 |
|
88 |
|
90 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
25 |
|
16 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
99 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
48 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
31 |
|
15 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
58 |
|
19 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Ichibanya from December 19, 2024.
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