Fact based stock research
ICICI Securities (NSEI:ISEC)
INE763G01038
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
ICICI Securities stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with investment alternatives), ICICI Securities (Investment Banking & Brokerage, India) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of ICICI Securities are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 41 (worse than 59% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 100) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 53, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 96, is a strong buy recommendation based on ICICI Securities's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company ICICI Securities exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 41), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 100). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 53) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | India |
| Industry | Investment Banking & Brokerage |
| Index | |
| Size class | Medium |
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: ICICI Securities
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 35 |
|
29 |
|
23 |
|
41 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 90 |
|
75 |
|
55 |
|
100 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 42 |
|
62 |
|
50 |
|
53 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
51 |
|
35 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
77 |
|
28 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with investment alternatives), ICICI Securities (Investment Banking & Brokerage, India) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of ICICI Securities are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 41 (worse than 59% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 100) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 53, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 96, is a strong buy recommendation based on ICICI Securities's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company ICICI Securities exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 41), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 100). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 53) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 35 |
|
29 |
|
23 |
|
41 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 90 |
|
75 |
|
55 |
|
100 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 42 |
|
62 |
|
50 |
|
53 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 61 |
|
83 |
|
23 |
|
96 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 41 (worse than 59% compared with alternatives), ICICI Securities shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for ICICI Securities. Only the metric dividend yield has an above-average rank, reflecting that dividend practices are expected to be higher than 65% of comparable companies, making the stock an attractive buy for dividend investors. However, dividend investors may get disappointed because all other critical financial indicators are below the market median: Price-to-Sales is 32 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 68% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning ICICI Securities's sales levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a rank of 24 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profit levels is higher than 76% of comparable companies. In addition, Price-to-Book (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 14 is also low. Compared with invested capital, the stock price is higher than for 86% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 41, is a hold recommendation based on ICICI Securities's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Should dividend investors pick ICICI Securities? The company-reported financials speak against it. The company is expensive compared with revenue and invested capital levels, two reliable company size indicators. In addition, it currently has a low level of profits. How can future dividends be paid in the case that profits remain low? Dividend investors should choose ICICI Securities only if they reasonably expect the low current profit levels to be transitory. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 19 |
|
17 |
|
34 |
|
32 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 55 |
|
27 |
|
29 |
|
24 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 6 |
|
3 |
|
5 |
|
14 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 80 |
|
72 |
|
35 |
|
65 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 35 |
|
29 |
|
23 |
|
41 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives) for 2024, ICICI Securities shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators above average for ICICI Securities. Sales Growth has a value of 95, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 95% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth with a value of 89 and for Capital Growth with 100. In addition, Stock Returns had an above-average rank value of 59, which means they have been higher than 59% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 100, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Since all Growth Ranks are positive, ICICI Securities exhibits above-average growth momentum. This could be due to a uniquely strong market position, proprietary technology, or an extensive corporate acquisition strategy. Growth investors will find this an attractive investment opportunity, unless they expect that the current phase is transitory and will deteriorate in the future. The current performance could also be a temporary recovery from a very low point, such as a turn-around situation. In the case of a turn-around, the current performance may or may not be followed by a continuing positive development. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 71 |
|
42 |
|
23 |
|
95 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | n/a |
|
46 |
|
65 |
|
89 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
57 |
|
76 |
|
100 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 86 |
|
100 |
|
75 |
|
59 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 90 |
|
75 |
|
55 |
|
100 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 53 (better than 53% compared with alternatives), the company ICICI Securities has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of ICICI Securities is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for ICICI Securities. Refinancing is at 61, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 61% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 75, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 75% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 20, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 80% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 53 (better than 53% compared with alternatives), ICICI Securities has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and ICICI Securities could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with ICICI Securities and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 35 |
|
45 |
|
25 |
|
20 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 55 |
|
33 |
|
45 |
|
61 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 45 |
|
81 |
|
76 |
|
75 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 42 |
|
62 |
|
50 |
|
53 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
70 |
|
20 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
20 |
|
96 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
60 |
|
22 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
51 |
|
35 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for ICICI Securities from November 14, 2024.
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