Fact based stock research
ICL Group (TASE:ICL)

IL0002810146

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

ICL Group stock research in summary

icl-group.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 51 (better than 51% compared with investment alternatives), ICL Group (Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals, Israel) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of ICL Group are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 48 (worse than 52% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 44) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 55), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 51, is a buy recommendation based on ICL Group's financial characteristics. As the company ICL Group's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 48) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 44), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 55) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	48
Growth Rank	44
Safety Rank	55
Combined Rank	51

Country	Israel
Industry	Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals
Index	Low Emissions, Dividends Europe, Energy Efficient, Human Rights
Size class	X-Large

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: ICL Group

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	58	45	55	48
GROWTH
GROWTH	76	91	7	44
SAFETY
SAFETY	49	16	63	55
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	69	74	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	63	54	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better ICL Group is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	58	45	55	48
GROWTH
GROWTH	76	91	7	44
SAFETY
SAFETY	49	16	63	55
COMBINED
COMBINED	68	44	32	51

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of ICL Group the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 48 (worse than 52% compared with alternatives), ICL Group shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for ICL Group. Only the metric dividend yield has an above-average rank, reflecting that dividend practices are expected to be higher than 76% of comparable companies, making the stock an attractive buy for dividend investors. However, dividend investors may get disappointed because all other critical financial indicators are below the market median: Price-to-Sales is 31 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 69% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning ICL Group's sales levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a rank of 47 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profit levels is higher than 53% of comparable companies. In addition, Price-to-Book (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 49 is also low. Compared with invested capital, the stock price is higher than for 51% of comparable investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 48, is a hold recommendation based on ICL Group's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Should dividend investors pick ICL Group? The company-reported financials speak against it. The company is expensive compared with revenue and invested capital levels, two reliable company size indicators. In addition, it currently has a low level of profits. How can future dividends be paid in the case that profits remain low? Dividend investors should choose ICL Group only if they reasonably expect the low current profit levels to be transitory. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	52	31	34	31
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	52	39	68	47
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	44	19	44	49
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	86	96	88	76
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	58	45	55	48

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of ICL Group; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 44 (better than 44% compared with alternatives), ICL Group shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for ICL Group. Sales Growth has a below market rank of 44, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 56% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 49, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 22. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 78% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 66, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 66% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 44, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for ICL Group, and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with recent above-market stock returns. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive stock returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	62	90	14	44
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	n/a	77	23	22
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	22	24	49
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	76	99	25	66
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	76	91	7	44

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of ICL Group.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 55 (better than 55% compared with alternatives), the company ICL Group has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of ICL Group is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for ICL Group. Leverage is at a rank of 62, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 62% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 55, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 55% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 34, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 66% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 55 (better than 55% compared with alternatives), ICL Group has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for ICL Group. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with ICL Group and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	20	41	53	62
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	82	32	48	34
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	31	22	75	55
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	49	16	63	55

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of ICL Group and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	77	17	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	23	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	15	74	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	96	89	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	69	74	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for ICL Group.
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