Fact based stock research
Indian Oil (NSEI:IOC)

INE242A01010

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Indian Oil stock research in summary

iocl.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 25 (worse than 75% compared with investment alternatives), Indian Oil (Oil & Gas Refining, India) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Indian Oil are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 61 (better than 61% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 39), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 19), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 25, is a hold recommendation based on Indian Oil's financial characteristics. As the company Indian Oil's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 61) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 39) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 19), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 61% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	61
Growth Rank	39
Safety Rank	19
Combined Rank	25

Country	India
Industry	Oil & Gas Refining
Index	Low Emissions, Energy Efficient, Electromobility, Low Waste, Recycling, CNX Nifty 50
Size class	XX-Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Indian Oil

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	100	90	80	61
GROWTH
GROWTH	37	67	83	39
SAFETY
SAFETY	19	14	8	19
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	28	52	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	49	61	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 31-Mar-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Indian Oil is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	100	90	80	61
GROWTH
GROWTH	37	67	83	39
SAFETY
SAFETY	19	14	8	19
COMBINED
COMBINED	57	67	65	25

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Indian Oil the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 61 (better than 61% compared with alternatives), Indian Oil shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Indian Oil. Price-to-Sales is 85 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 85% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Indian Oil's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 67% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 66. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Indian Oil are expected to be higher than for 61% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 61). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 61, is a buy recommendation based on Indian Oil's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Indian Oil based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	97	93	83	85
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	85	87	83	67
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	84	88	66	66
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	96	76	82	61
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	100	90	80	61

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Indian Oil; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 39 (better than 39% compared with alternatives), Indian Oil shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Indian Oil. Capital Growth has a rank of 60, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 4% of its competitors. Investors welcomed this, visible in the Stock Returns rank of 77 (above 77% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has only a rank of 32, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 68% of its competitors, and Profit Growth is also low at a rank of 4. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 39, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is an ambiguous picture. Revenue growth and capital growth are strong, but the growth in profit, which seems good, can also be an indication that growth momentum may be negative. The fact that stock returns have been above average doesn't help much, as stock returns are less reliable in showing a company’s future growth potential. Prices may perform well for the simple reason that investors were too pessimistic in the past and are now correcting their opinions and moving the stock price to a more reasonable level. As the growth picture is mixed for Indian Oil, investors may want to look at value and sentiment indicators for a well-rounded picture of this stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	35	42	15	32
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	n/a	25	92	4
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	81	71	60
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	58	77	85	77
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	37	67	83	39

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Indian Oil.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 19 (better than 19% compared with alternatives), the company Indian Oil has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Indian Oil is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Indian Oil. Liquidity is at 56, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 56% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 3, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 97% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 40, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 60% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 19 (worse than 81% compared with alternatives), Indian Oil has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	10	24	24	40
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	24	5	3	3
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	58	66	29	56
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	19	14	8	19

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Indian Oil and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	75	57	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	55	54	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	12	86	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	30	9	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	28	52	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Indian Oil.
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