Fact based stock research
J.M. Smucker (NYSE:SJM)
US8326964058
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
J.M. Smucker stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 16 (worse than 84% compared with investment alternatives), J.M. Smucker (Packaged Foods & Meats, USA) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of J.M. Smucker are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 83 (better than 83% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 15), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 6), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 16, is a sell recommendation based on J.M. Smucker's financial characteristics. As the company J.M. Smucker's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 83) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 15) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 6), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 83% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | USA |
Industry | Packaged Foods & Meats |
Index | S&P US Consumer, S&P US Food & Beverage, S&P 500 |
Size class | X-Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: J.M. Smucker
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 79 |
|
77 |
|
78 |
|
83 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 26 |
|
12 |
|
35 |
|
15 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 14 |
|
52 |
|
74 |
|
6 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
44 |
|
6 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
45 |
|
42 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 16 (worse than 84% compared with investment alternatives), J.M. Smucker (Packaged Foods & Meats, USA) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of J.M. Smucker are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 83 (better than 83% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 15), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 6), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 16, is a sell recommendation based on J.M. Smucker's financial characteristics. As the company J.M. Smucker's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 83) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 15) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 6), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 83% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 79 |
|
77 |
|
78 |
|
83 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 26 |
|
12 |
|
35 |
|
15 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 14 |
|
52 |
|
74 |
|
6 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 24 |
|
48 |
|
77 |
|
16 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 83 (better than 83% compared with alternatives) for 2024, J.M. Smucker shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for J.M. Smucker. Price-to-Sales is 57 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 57% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for J.M. Smucker's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 87% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 74. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of J.M. Smucker are expected to be higher than for 87% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 87). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 83, is a buy recommendation based on J.M. Smucker's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in J.M. Smucker based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 42 |
|
41 |
|
41 |
|
57 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 66 |
|
69 |
|
78 |
|
87 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 72 |
|
82 |
|
80 |
|
74 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 78 |
|
73 |
|
82 |
|
87 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 79 |
|
77 |
|
78 |
|
83 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 15 (better than 15% compared with alternatives), J.M. Smucker shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for J.M. Smucker. Sales Growth has a rank of 26, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 74% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 34, and Capital Growth with 24. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 33, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 67% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 15, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 22 |
|
14 |
|
88 |
|
26 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | 13 |
|
27 |
|
35 |
|
34 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
4 |
|
11 |
|
24 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 54 |
|
85 |
|
27 |
|
33 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 26 |
|
12 |
|
35 |
|
15 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 6 (better than 6% compared with alternatives), the company J.M. Smucker has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of J.M. Smucker is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for J.M. Smucker. Liquidity is at 33, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 67% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 30, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 70% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 3 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 97% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 6 (worse than 94% compared with alternatives), J.M. Smucker has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. Investors should look at Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks to confirm a very positive outlook or be careful with investing in stocks of J.M. Smucker because it may suffer significantly in case of future difficulties. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 34 |
|
56 |
|
56 |
|
30 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 34 |
|
23 |
|
85 |
|
3 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 46 |
|
63 |
|
54 |
|
33 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 14 |
|
52 |
|
74 |
|
6 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
13 |
|
19 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
56 |
|
5 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
50 |
|
44 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
72 |
|
37 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
44 |
|
6 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for J.M. Smucker from December 19, 2024.
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