Fact based stock research
James River Group (NasdaqGS:JRVR)
BMG5005R1079
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
James River Group stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 8 (worse than 92% compared with investment alternatives), James River Group (Property & Casualty Insurance, Bermuda) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of James River Group are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 96 (better than 96% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 1), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 23), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 8, is a sell recommendation based on James River Group's financial characteristics. As the company James River Group's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 96) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 1) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 23), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 96% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | Bermuda |
Industry | Property & Casualty Insurance |
Index | NASDAQ |
Size class | Large |
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: James River Group
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 31 |
|
41 |
|
86 |
|
96 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 6 |
|
3 |
|
7 |
|
1 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 24 |
|
23 |
|
23 |
|
23 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
44 |
|
14 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
11 |
|
15 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 8 (worse than 92% compared with investment alternatives), James River Group (Property & Casualty Insurance, Bermuda) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of James River Group are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 96 (better than 96% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 1), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 23), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 8, is a sell recommendation based on James River Group's financial characteristics. As the company James River Group's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 96) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 1) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 23), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 96% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 31 |
|
41 |
|
86 |
|
96 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 6 |
|
3 |
|
7 |
|
1 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 24 |
|
23 |
|
23 |
|
23 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 3 |
|
8 |
|
8 |
|
8 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with alternatives) for 2022, James River Group shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for James River Group. Price-to-Sales is 100 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 100% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for James River Group's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 95% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 92. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of James River Group are expected to be higher than for 62% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 62). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 96, is a buy recommendation based on James River Group's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in James River Group based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 31 |
|
64 |
|
93 |
|
100 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 5 |
|
34 |
|
85 |
|
95 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 49 |
|
47 |
|
71 |
|
92 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 66 |
|
26 |
|
43 |
|
62 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 31 |
|
41 |
|
86 |
|
96 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 1 (better than 1% compared with alternatives), James River Group shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for James River Group. Sales Growth has a rank of 40, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 60% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 1, and Capital Growth with 8. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 1, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 99% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 1, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 47 |
|
46 |
|
8 |
|
40 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | 87 |
|
1 |
|
41 |
|
1 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
31 |
|
41 |
|
8 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 24 |
|
7 |
|
3 |
|
1 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 6 |
|
3 |
|
7 |
|
1 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 23 (better than 23% compared with alternatives), the company James River Group has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of James River Group is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for James River Group. Refinancing is at 77, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 77% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 59, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 59% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 41, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 59% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 23 (worse than 77% compared with alternatives), James River Group has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and James River Group could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with James River Group and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 41 |
|
42 |
|
42 |
|
41 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 53 |
|
77 |
|
77 |
|
77 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 9 |
|
63 |
|
69 |
|
59 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 24 |
|
23 |
|
23 |
|
23 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
5 |
|
25 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
13 |
|
50 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
100 |
|
25 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
68 |
|
27 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
44 |
|
14 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for James River Group from December 19, 2024.
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