Fact based stock research
James River Group (NasdaqGS:JRVR)

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

James River Group stock research in summary

jrgh.net

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 8 (worse than 92% compared with investment alternatives), James River Group (Property & Casualty Insurance, Bermuda) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of James River Group are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 97 (better than 97% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 11), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 23), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 8, is a sell recommendation based on James River Group's financial characteristics. As the company James River Group's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 97) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 11) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 23), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 97% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	97
Growth Rank	11
Safety Rank	23
Combined Rank	8

Country	Bermuda
Industry	Property & Casualty Insurance
Index	NASDAQ
Size class	Medium

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: James River Group

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	31	41	86	97
GROWTH
GROWTH	6	3	7	11
SAFETY
SAFETY	24	23	23	23
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	44	14	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	11	15	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better James River Group is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	31	41	86	97
GROWTH
GROWTH	6	3	7	11
SAFETY
SAFETY	24	23	23	23
COMBINED
COMBINED	3	8	8	8

Last update of combined financial performance: 6-Oct-2022. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of James River Group the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 97 (better than 97% compared with alternatives) for 2022, James River Group shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for James River Group. Price-to-Sales is 97 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 97% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for James River Group's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 93% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 93. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of James River Group are expected to be higher than for 58% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 58). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 97, is a buy recommendation based on James River Group's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in James River Group based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	31	64	93	97
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	5	34	85	93
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	49	47	71	93
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	66	26	43	58
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	31	41	86	97

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of James River Group; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 11 (better than 11% compared with alternatives), James River Group shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for James River Group. While Profit Growth has a good rank of 76, as professionals currently expect the company to grow its profits more than 76% of its competitors, all other growth indicators are below market averages. Sales Growth has a rank of 43, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 57% of its competitors, while Capital Growth has a rank of 7 and Stock Returns have been below market median, with a rank of 3 (97% of alternative investments were better). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 11, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. While revenue growth and capital growth are good growth momentum indicators, profit is less reliable, because profits may increase due to cost-cutting measures which typically indicate negative growth momentum. "You can save a dollar only once" is the saying about such situations. Growth Investors should look at company priorities closely if they are interested in growth, because the increase in profits is not usually an indicator of growth, and stock prices have been below market, too. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	47	46	8	43
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	87	1	41	76
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	31	41	7
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	24	7	3	3
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	6	3	7	11

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of James River Group.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 23 (better than 23% compared with alternatives), the company James River Group has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of James River Group is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for James River Group. Refinancing is at 77, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 77% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 58, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 58% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 40, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 60% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 23 (worse than 77% compared with alternatives), James River Group has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and James River Group could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with James River Group and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	41	42	42	40
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	53	77	77	77
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	9	63	69	58
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	24	23	23	23

Last update of Safety Rank: 6-Oct-2022. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of James River Group and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	5	25	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	13	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	100	25	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	68	27	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	44	14	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for James River Group.
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