Fact based stock research
Japan Post Insurance (TSE:7181)
JP3233250004
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Japan Post Insurance stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 26 (worse than 74% compared with investment alternatives), Japan Post Insurance (Life & Health Insurance, Japan) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Japan Post Insurance are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 91 (better than 91% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 52, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 33). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 26, is a hold recommendation based on Japan Post Insurance's financial characteristics. As the company Japan Post Insurance's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 91) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 33) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 52), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 91% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | Japan |
| Industry | Life & Health Insurance |
| Index | |
| Size class | XX-Large |
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Japan Post Insurance
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 98 |
|
93 |
|
87 |
|
91 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 27 |
|
15 |
|
11 |
|
33 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 31 |
|
52 |
|
52 |
|
52 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
24 |
|
29 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
37 |
|
35 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 26 (worse than 74% compared with investment alternatives), Japan Post Insurance (Life & Health Insurance, Japan) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Japan Post Insurance are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 91 (better than 91% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 52, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 33). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 26, is a hold recommendation based on Japan Post Insurance's financial characteristics. As the company Japan Post Insurance's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 91) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 33) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 52), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 91% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 98 |
|
93 |
|
87 |
|
91 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 27 |
|
15 |
|
11 |
|
33 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 31 |
|
52 |
|
52 |
|
52 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 56 |
|
26 |
|
26 |
|
26 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 91 (better than 91% compared with alternatives) for 2022, Japan Post Insurance shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Japan Post Insurance. Price-to-Sales is 100 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 100% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Japan Post Insurance's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 53% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 95. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Japan Post Insurance are expected to be higher than for 56% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 56). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 91, is a buy recommendation based on Japan Post Insurance's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Japan Post Insurance based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 94 |
|
100 |
|
100 |
|
100 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 81 |
|
86 |
|
58 |
|
53 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 96 |
|
97 |
|
95 |
|
95 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 84 |
|
48 |
|
50 |
|
56 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 98 |
|
93 |
|
87 |
|
91 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 33 (better than 33% compared with alternatives), Japan Post Insurance shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Japan Post Insurance. Sales Growth has a rank of 53 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 53% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 6% of competitors with a rank of 87. But Profit Growth only has a rank of 6, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 94% of its competitors. And Stock Returns have also been below average with a rank of only 19. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 33, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Profits are sometimes low if the company invests in the future. The positive revenue and capital investment outlook confirms such an interpretation. Both revenues and capital are solid growth indicators, and lower profits in such a case would be encouraging. But the investors see it differently by punishing the share price. Sometimes, Mister Market is not very reliable, because it is not uncommon for it to be volatile. Investors should look out for signs of growth expenditure that could justify low profit growth, and they may also find reasons why recent stock price developments don't confirm the growth outlook of operations. While operating growth indicators are not perfect, they are more reliable indicators for future performance than stock prices that can repeatedly surprise investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 26 |
|
6 |
|
9 |
|
53 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | n/a |
|
11 |
|
8 |
|
6 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
97 |
|
43 |
|
87 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 57 |
|
29 |
|
51 |
|
19 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 27 |
|
15 |
|
11 |
|
33 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 52 (better than 52% compared with alternatives), the company Japan Post Insurance has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Japan Post Insurance is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Japan Post Insurance. Leverage is at 89, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 89% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 96, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 96% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 78, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 78% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 52 (better than 52% compared with alternatives), Japan Post Insurance has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Japan Post Insurance but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 1 |
|
84 |
|
86 |
|
89 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 100 |
|
96 |
|
96 |
|
96 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 18 |
|
94 |
|
84 |
|
78 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 31 |
|
52 |
|
52 |
|
52 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
41 |
|
38 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
63 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
26 |
|
21 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
46 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
24 |
|
29 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Japan Post Insurance from November 14, 2024.
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