Fact based stock research
Jollibee Foods (PSE:JFC)

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

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Jollibee Foods stock research in summary

jollibee.com.ph

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 24 (worse than 76% compared with investment alternatives), Jollibee Foods (Restaurants, Philippines) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Jollibee Foods are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 21 (worse than 79% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 39, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 55). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 24, is a sell recommendation based on Jollibee Foods's financial characteristics. As the company Jollibee Foods shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 21 (79% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 55% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 55). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 39 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Jollibee Foods, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	21
Growth Rank	55
Safety Rank	39
Combined Rank	24

Country	Philippines
Industry	Restaurants
Index
Size class	X-Large

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Jollibee Foods

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	23	39	32	21
GROWTH
GROWTH	66	89	77	55
SAFETY
SAFETY	8	25	36	39
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	51	88	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	43	63	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Jollibee Foods is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	23	39	32	21
GROWTH
GROWTH	66	89	77	55
SAFETY
SAFETY	8	25	36	39
COMBINED
COMBINED	16	43	45	24

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Jollibee Foods the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 21 (worse than 79% compared with alternatives), Jollibee Foods shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for Jollibee Foods. Price-to-Sales is 49 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 51% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Jollibee Foods's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 27, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of Jollibee Foods. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 27 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 72% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 21, is a sell recommendation based on Jollibee Foods's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for Jollibee Foods? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as Jollibee Foods? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. Jollibee Foods may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	31	53	51	49
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	23	22	19	27
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	38	36	28	27
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	42	41	45	28
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	23	39	32	21

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Jollibee Foods; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 55 (better than 55% compared with alternatives), Jollibee Foods shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Jollibee Foods. Sales Growth has a rank of 74 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 74% of its competitors. Both Profit Growth, with a rank of 51, and Stock Returns, with a rank of 71, are also above average. But Capital Growth only has a rank of 17, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 83% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 55, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That may be a good sign if the company is already well positioned and doesn't require more investments at this time. They may focus on growing the top (revenues) and bottom (profits) lines, recently rewarded with above-average stock returns for shareholders. But it may also be a sign of danger as the company is falling back with capital investment activities concerning competition. This requires further analysis of corporate communications. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	23	62	62	74
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	n/a	92	63	51
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	51	56	17
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	68	69	61	71
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	66	89	77	55

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Jollibee Foods.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 39 (better than 39% compared with alternatives), the company Jollibee Foods has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Jollibee Foods is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Jollibee Foods. Liquidity is at 39, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 61% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 35, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 65% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 46 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 54% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 39 (worse than 61% compared with alternatives), Jollibee Foods has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. Investors should look at Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks to confirm a very positive outlook or be careful with investing in stocks of Jollibee Foods because it may suffer significantly in case of future difficulties. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	54	28	30	35
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	28	47	47	46
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	7	6	32	39
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	8	25	36	39

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Jollibee Foods and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	29	69	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	61	79	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	45	65	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	64	81	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	51	88	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Jollibee Foods.
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