Fact based stock research
Super (JSE:SPG)
ZAE000161832
How to read the free ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Super stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 70 (better than 70% compared with investment alternatives), Super (Automotive Retail, South Africa) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Super are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 87 (better than 87% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 37), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 44), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 70, is a buy recommendation based on Super's financial characteristics. As the company Super's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 87) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 37) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 44), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 87% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | South Africa |
Industry | Automotive Retail |
Index | JSE All Shares |
Size class | X-Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Super
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 62 |
|
95 |
|
97 |
|
87 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 61 |
|
41 |
|
55 |
|
37 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 19 |
|
66 |
|
52 |
|
44 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
15 |
|
57 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
61 |
|
82 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 70 (better than 70% compared with investment alternatives), Super (Automotive Retail, South Africa) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Super are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 87 (better than 87% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 37), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 44), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 70, is a buy recommendation based on Super's financial characteristics. As the company Super's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 87) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 37) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 44), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 87% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 62 |
|
95 |
|
97 |
|
87 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 61 |
|
41 |
|
55 |
|
37 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 19 |
|
66 |
|
52 |
|
44 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 44 |
|
89 |
|
88 |
|
70 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 87 (better than 87% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Super shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Super. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 87, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 87% of comparable companies, indicating a good value regarding Super's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price to Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 95% of alternatives, and it's also true for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 93. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields are expected to be lower than average; only 46% of all competitors have even lower dividend yields than Super (a Dividend Yield Rank of 46). 54% alternative investments in the same business provide a higher dividend yield. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 87, is a buy recommendation based on Super's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The below-average dividend yield may be a good sign, as it could mean the company has more attractive investment opportunities for the generated cash than to pay it out as dividends. A low dividend yield can also indicate a growth phase. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 67 |
|
79 |
|
93 |
|
87 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 74 |
|
95 |
|
95 |
|
95 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 74 |
|
95 |
|
100 |
|
93 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 56 |
|
59 |
|
61 |
|
46 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 62 |
|
95 |
|
97 |
|
87 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 37 (better than 37% compared with alternatives), Super shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Super. Profit Growth has a rank of 65, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 65% of its competitors. This is a good sign for shareholders, which is confirmed by an above-average Stock Returns rank of 51 (above 51% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has a below the median rank of 31, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 69% of its competitors, and Capital Growth also has a lower rank of 41. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 37, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Because revenues and invested capital are the more solid growth indicators, the positive development on the profit side is less relevant. It may have been caused by cost-cutting, which may be a negative growth indicator. Finally, the above-average stock returns recently are a thing of the past and not a good indicator of future returns. Investors should be confident that the cost-cutting initiative leading to higher profits is to benefit the company's future. If not, there is little growth momentum, and investment is only advisable if the Value Ranks suggest a good investment timing for Super. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 33 |
|
20 |
|
24 |
|
31 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | 67 |
|
44 |
|
56 |
|
65 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
51 |
|
53 |
|
41 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 74 |
|
75 |
|
73 |
|
51 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 61 |
|
41 |
|
55 |
|
37 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 44 (better than 44% compared with alternatives), the company Super has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Super is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Super and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 91, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 91% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 15, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 85% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 14, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 86% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 44 (worse than 56% compared with alternatives), Super has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Super are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Super and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 32 |
|
54 |
|
24 |
|
15 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 16 |
|
87 |
|
81 |
|
91 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 40 |
|
47 |
|
29 |
|
14 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 19 |
|
66 |
|
52 |
|
44 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
37 |
|
56 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
79 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
39 |
|
27 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
20 |
|
58 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
15 |
|
57 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Super from December 19, 2024.
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