Fact based stock research
Kaiser Aluminum (NasdaqGS:KALU)

US4830077040

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

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Kaiser Aluminum stock research in summary

kaiseraluminum.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 55 (better than 55% compared with investment alternatives), Kaiser Aluminum (Aluminum, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Kaiser Aluminum are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 80 (better than 80% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 37), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 29), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 55, is a buy recommendation based on Kaiser Aluminum's financial characteristics. As the company Kaiser Aluminum's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 80) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 37) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 29), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 80% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	80
Growth Rank	37
Safety Rank	29
Combined Rank	55

Country	USA
Industry	Aluminum
Index	Low Emissions, Dividends USA, Energy Efficient, NASDAQ
Size class	X-Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Research History: Kaiser Aluminum

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	48	51	65	80
GROWTH
GROWTH	55	63	63	37
SAFETY
SAFETY	26	40	18	29
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	6	37	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	15	34	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Kaiser Aluminum is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	48	51	65	80
GROWTH
GROWTH	55	63	63	37
SAFETY
SAFETY	26	40	18	29
COMBINED
COMBINED	28	51	42	55

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Kaiser Aluminum the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 80 (better than 80% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Kaiser Aluminum shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for Kaiser Aluminum. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 91, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 91% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Kaiser Aluminum's revenue size. The same is valid for dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 89, which means that dividends are expected to be higher than for 89% of comparable investments. On the other hand, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than for 64% of alternatives (only 36% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for the Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E) ratio, which is higher than for 51% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 80, is a buy recommendation based on Kaiser Aluminum's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a somewhat surprising picture, because it means that profits are low while dividends are high. One interpretation could be that profits are expected to increase, justifying the high dividend payments. But it could also mean that the company desperately keeps the high dividends to avoid a collapsing share price. This would be a rather dangerous constellation. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	72	81	93	91
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	9	17	18	49
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	42	37	41	36
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	75	89	96	89
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	48	51	65	80

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Kaiser Aluminum; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 37 (better than 37% compared with alternatives), Kaiser Aluminum shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for Kaiser Aluminum. Sales Growth has a rank of 45, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 55% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 40, and Capital Growth with 28. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 47, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 53% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 37, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	76	70	47	45
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	69	47	100	40
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	76	28	28
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	75	43	23	47
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	55	63	63	37

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Kaiser Aluminum.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 29 (better than 29% compared with alternatives), the company Kaiser Aluminum has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Kaiser Aluminum is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Kaiser Aluminum and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 88, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 88% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 3, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 97% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 27, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 73% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 29 (worse than 71% compared with alternatives), Kaiser Aluminum has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Kaiser Aluminum are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Kaiser Aluminum and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	17	17	2	3
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	85	80	87	88
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	13	36	10	27
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	26	40	18	29

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Kaiser Aluminum and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	2	1	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	53	48	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	32	67	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	6	37	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Kaiser Aluminum.
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