Fact based stock research
KMD Brands (NZSE:KMD)

NZKMDE0001S3

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

KMD Brands stock research in summary

kathmanduholdings.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with investment alternatives), KMD Brands (Specialty Stores, New Zealand) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of KMD Brands are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 89 (better than 89% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 87) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 46), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 96, is a strong buy recommendation based on KMD Brands's financial characteristics. As the company KMD Brands's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 89) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 87), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 46) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	89
Growth Rank	87
Safety Rank	46
Combined Rank	96

Country	New Zealand
Industry	Specialty Stores
Index	ASX 300, SDG 6, NZSX 50
Size class	Medium

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: KMD Brands

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	40	83	95	89
GROWTH
GROWTH	58	77	41	87
SAFETY
SAFETY	48	55	58	46
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	64	65	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	97	86	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 31-Jul-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better KMD Brands is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	40	83	95	89
GROWTH
GROWTH	58	77	41	87
SAFETY
SAFETY	48	55	58	46
COMBINED
COMBINED	50	96	92	96

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of KMD Brands the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 89 (better than 89% compared with alternatives) for 2024, KMD Brands shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for KMD Brands. Price-to-Sales is 87 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 87% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for KMD Brands's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 55% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 95. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of KMD Brands are expected to be higher than for 86% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 86). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 89, is a buy recommendation based on KMD Brands's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in KMD Brands based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	46	54	73	87
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	72	67	88	55
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	70	73	91	95
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	1	100	98	86
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	40	83	95	89

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of KMD Brands; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 87 (better than 87% compared with alternatives) for 2024, KMD Brands shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for KMD Brands. Sales Growth has a value of 75 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 75% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a value of 100 and Capital Growth with a rank of 78 means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow both profits and invested capital more than of its competitors. But Stock Returns has only a rank of 5, which means that stock returns have recently been below 95% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 87, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. KMD Brands has only one below-average growth indicator, the stock returns. This is probably the least reliable growth indicator, because it measures company and investor expectations at the same time. The three other growth indicators, which are all positive for KMD Brands, are more reliable measures of growth momentum. For this reason, the company seems to be on a good trajectory, unless you think the current period is not representative, because of unique events that will not be repeated in the future. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	45	60	56	75
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	43	46	48	100
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	69	67	78
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	52	77	5	5
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	58	77	41	87

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of KMD Brands.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 46 (better than 46% compared with alternatives), the company KMD Brands has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of KMD Brands is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for KMD Brands and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 94, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 94% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 43, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 57% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 8, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 92% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 46 (worse than 54% compared with alternatives), KMD Brands has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for KMD Brands are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with KMD Brands and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	41	52	10	43
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	67	70	96	94
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	41	32	59	8
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	48	55	58	46

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of KMD Brands and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	79	79	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	31	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	16	42	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	71	81	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	64	65	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for KMD Brands.
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