Fact based stock research
KMD Brands (NZSE:KMD)
NZKMDE0001S3
How to read the free ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
KMD Brands stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 88 (better than 88% compared with investment alternatives), KMD Brands (Specialty Stores, New Zealand) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of KMD Brands are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 83 (better than 83% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 85) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 44), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 88, is a strong buy recommendation based on KMD Brands's financial characteristics. As the company KMD Brands's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 83) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 85), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 44) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° ViewnewThis stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: KMD Brands
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 40 |
|
83 |
|
95 |
|
83 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 58 |
|
77 |
|
41 |
|
85 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 48 |
|
55 |
|
58 |
|
44 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
64 |
|
65 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
97 |
|
86 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 88 (better than 88% compared with investment alternatives), KMD Brands (Specialty Stores, New Zealand) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of KMD Brands are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 83 (better than 83% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 85) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 44), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 88, is a strong buy recommendation based on KMD Brands's financial characteristics. As the company KMD Brands's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 83) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 85), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 44) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 40 |
|
83 |
|
95 |
|
83 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 58 |
|
77 |
|
41 |
|
85 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 48 |
|
55 |
|
58 |
|
44 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 50 |
|
96 |
|
92 |
|
88 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 83 (better than 83% compared with alternatives) for 2024, KMD Brands shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where three out of four indicators are above average for KMD Brands. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 84 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 84% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for KMD Brands's revenue size. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 95. Finally, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of KMD Brands are expected to be higher than for 69% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 69). The only low rank is for expected profits with a Price-to-Profit Rank of 34, indicating that the market expects the company's profit to be low despite a high dividend. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 83, is a buy recommendation based on KMD Brands's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The low Profit Rank could result from a one-off charge, for instance, for an accident, a legal settlement, or a restructuring project. If the company keeps its dividends high, the low expected profit may be transitory. If that is the case, the three good value ranks for Sales, Capital, and Dividends are reliable indicators for good stock price value, a low stock price. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 46 |
|
54 |
|
73 |
|
84 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 72 |
|
67 |
|
88 |
|
34 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 70 |
|
73 |
|
91 |
|
95 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
100 |
|
98 |
|
69 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 40 |
|
83 |
|
95 |
|
83 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 85 (better than 85% compared with alternatives) for 2024, KMD Brands shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for KMD Brands. Sales Growth has a value of 62 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 62% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a value of 100 and Capital Growth with a rank of 86 means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow both profits and invested capital more than of its competitors. But Stock Returns has only a rank of 1, which means that stock returns have recently been below 99% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 85, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. KMD Brands has only one below-average growth indicator, the stock returns. This is probably the least reliable growth indicator, because it measures company and investor expectations at the same time. The three other growth indicators, which are all positive for KMD Brands, are more reliable measures of growth momentum. For this reason, the company seems to be on a good trajectory, unless you think the current period is not representative, because of unique events that will not be repeated in the future. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 45 |
|
60 |
|
56 |
|
62 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 43 |
|
46 |
|
48 |
|
100 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
69 |
|
67 |
|
86 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 52 |
|
77 |
|
5 |
|
1 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 58 |
|
77 |
|
41 |
|
85 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 44 (better than 44% compared with alternatives), the company KMD Brands has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of KMD Brands is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for KMD Brands and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 90, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 90% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 41, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 59% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 8, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 92% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 44 (worse than 56% compared with alternatives), KMD Brands has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for KMD Brands are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with KMD Brands and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 41 |
|
52 |
|
10 |
|
41 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 67 |
|
70 |
|
96 |
|
90 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 41 |
|
32 |
|
59 |
|
8 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 48 |
|
55 |
|
58 |
|
44 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
79 |
|
79 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
31 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
16 |
|
42 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
71 |
|
81 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
64 |
|
65 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for KMD Brands from November 14, 2024.
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