Fact based stock research
Kinden (TSE:1944)
JP3263000006
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Kinden stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 65 (better than 65% compared with investment alternatives), Kinden (Construction & Engineering, Japan) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Kinden are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 27 (worse than 73% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 65) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 92, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 65, is a buy recommendation based on Kinden's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Kinden exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 27), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 65). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 92) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | Japan |
| Industry | Construction & Engineering |
| Index | Water Tech |
| Size class | X-Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Kinden
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 75 |
|
43 |
|
16 |
|
27 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 8 |
|
19 |
|
71 |
|
65 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 100 |
|
98 |
|
96 |
|
92 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
27 |
|
88 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
38 |
|
84 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 65 (better than 65% compared with investment alternatives), Kinden (Construction & Engineering, Japan) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Kinden are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 27 (worse than 73% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 65) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 92, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 65, is a buy recommendation based on Kinden's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Kinden exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 27), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 65). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 92) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 75 |
|
43 |
|
16 |
|
27 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 8 |
|
19 |
|
71 |
|
65 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 100 |
|
98 |
|
96 |
|
92 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 75 |
|
47 |
|
65 |
|
65 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 27 (worse than 73% compared with alternatives), Kinden shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators where three out of four are below average for Kinden. Only the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) indicates good stock value with a Price-to-Book Rank of 59, which means that the stock price is lower compared with invested capital than for 59% of comparable investments. All other value indicators are below the market median. Price-to-Sales is 40 which means the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 60% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Kinden's revenue levels. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 59 and for the dividend yields rank which is lower than for 56% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to with the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 27, is a hold recommendation based on Kinden's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Why are market participants paying such a high price for Kinden, where three out of four value indicators are below par? One reason could be that the company is well financed, indicated by the high book capital level, and has a promising future that is not yet visible in reported revenues and profits. That would also explain the low dividend yield because the company needs the cash to invest in its future. If investors can verify a picture in this sense, the stock may still be a good investment, even though current company-reported financials don't fully explain current stock prices. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 58 |
|
45 |
|
40 |
|
40 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 66 |
|
52 |
|
26 |
|
33 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 84 |
|
95 |
|
66 |
|
59 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 56 |
|
40 |
|
18 |
|
44 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 75 |
|
43 |
|
16 |
|
27 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 65 (better than 65% compared with alternatives), Kinden shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Kinden. Capital Growth has a rank of 95, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 44% of its competitors. Investors welcomed this, visible in the Stock Returns rank of 71 (above 71% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has only a rank of 25, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 75% of its competitors, and Profit Growth is also low at a rank of 44. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 65, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is an ambiguous picture. Revenue growth and capital growth are strong, but the growth in profit, which seems good, can also be an indication that growth momentum may be negative. The fact that stock returns have been above average doesn't help much, as stock returns are less reliable in showing a company’s future growth potential. Prices may perform well for the simple reason that investors were too pessimistic in the past and are now correcting their opinions and moving the stock price to a more reasonable level. As the growth picture is mixed for Kinden, investors may want to look at value and sentiment indicators for a well-rounded picture of this stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 19 |
|
35 |
|
50 |
|
25 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 75 |
|
9 |
|
52 |
|
44 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
37 |
|
31 |
|
95 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 42 |
|
45 |
|
97 |
|
71 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 8 |
|
19 |
|
71 |
|
65 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Kinden has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Kinden is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Kinden. Leverage is at 86, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 86% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 67, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 67% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 94, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 94% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with alternatives), Kinden has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Kinden but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 96 |
|
92 |
|
90 |
|
86 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 78 |
|
91 |
|
73 |
|
67 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 97 |
|
84 |
|
90 |
|
94 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 100 |
|
98 |
|
96 |
|
92 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
19 |
|
23 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
93 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
39 |
|
94 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
43 |
|
57 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
27 |
|
88 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Kinden from December 19, 2024.
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