Fact based stock research
Krispy Kreme (NYSE:KKD)

US50101L1061

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

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Krispy Kreme stock research in summary

investors.krispykreme.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 81 (better than 81% compared with investment alternatives), Krispy Kreme (Restaurants, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Krispy Kreme are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 57 (better than 57% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 85, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 35). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 81, is a strong buy recommendation based on Krispy Kreme's financial characteristics. As the company Krispy Kreme's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 57) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 35) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 85), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 57% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	57
Growth Rank	35
Safety Rank	85
Combined Rank	81

Country	USA
Industry	Restaurants
Index	NASDAQ
Size class	Large

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Krispy Kreme

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	1	61	45	57
GROWTH
GROWTH	30	53	39	35
SAFETY
SAFETY	13	61	88	85
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	58	57	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	75	67	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Krispy Kreme is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	1	61	45	57
GROWTH
GROWTH	30	53	39	35
SAFETY
SAFETY	13	61	88	85
COMBINED
COMBINED	1	65	72	81

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Krispy Kreme the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 57 (better than 57% compared with alternatives), Krispy Kreme shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Krispy Kreme. Expected dividend yields are higher than for 70% of comparable companies (a Dividend Yield rank of 70), making the stock attractive. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 65, which means that the stock price is lower compared with invested capital than for 65% of comparable investments. But in respect to sales and profits, the picture is reversed. Price-to-Sales is 48 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than for 52% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Krispy Kreme's sales levels. The Price-to-Profit ratio (also referred to as price-earnings (P/E) ratio) is also unfavorable for Krispy Kreme with a rank of 10. This means that the stock price, compared with what market professionals expect for future profits, is higher than for 90% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Krispy Kreme's profit levels. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 57, is a buy recommendation based on Krispy Kreme's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The company seems confident that it can generate a reasonable return on invested capital, because it pays an above-average dividend while profits are below what you would expect for a company with this stock price. If you agree with this practice and believe that profits will return to higher levels, as the current dividend policy suggests, Krispy Kreme may be an attractive investment. If this is not the case, you may want to be careful with this stock as it is also expensive compared with its expected revenue levels. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	11	46	36	48
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	23	21	17	10
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	14	61	45	65
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	1	68	70	70
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	1	61	45	57

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Krispy Kreme; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 35 (better than 35% compared with alternatives), Krispy Kreme shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Krispy Kreme. Sales Growth has a rank of 66 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 66% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 28% of competitors with a rank of 53. But Profit Growth only has a rank of 28, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 72% of its competitors. And Stock Returns have also been below average with a rank of only 29. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 35, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Profits are sometimes low if the company invests in the future. The positive revenue and capital investment outlook confirms such an interpretation. Both revenues and capital are solid growth indicators, and lower profits in such a case would be encouraging. But the investors see it differently by punishing the share price. Sometimes, Mister Market is not very reliable, because it is not uncommon for it to be volatile. Investors should look out for signs of growth expenditure that could justify low profit growth, and they may also find reasons why recent stock price developments don't confirm the growth outlook of operations. While operating growth indicators are not perfect, they are more reliable indicators for future performance than stock prices that can repeatedly surprise investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	28	57	59	66
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	71	76	36	28
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	55	22	53
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	33	21	79	29
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	30	53	39	35

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Krispy Kreme.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 85 (better than 85% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Krispy Kreme has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Krispy Kreme is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Krispy Kreme. Leverage is at a rank of 79, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 79% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 98, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 98% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 20, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 80% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 85 (better than 85% compared with alternatives), Krispy Kreme has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Krispy Kreme. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with Krispy Kreme and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	88	72	78	79
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	29	16	28	20
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	4	64	96	98
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	13	61	88	85

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Krispy Kreme and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	29	25	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	32	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	57	45	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	82	83	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	58	57	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Krispy Kreme.
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