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Cogna Educacao (BOVESPA:COGN3)

BRCOGNACNOR2

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

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Cogna Educacao stock research in summary

cogna.com.br

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 93 (better than 93% compared with investment alternatives), Cogna Educacao (Education Services, Brazil) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Cogna Educacao are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 93 (better than 93% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 67, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 47). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 93, is a strong buy recommendation based on Cogna Educacao's financial characteristics. As the company Cogna Educacao's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 93) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 47) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 67), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 93% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	93
Growth Rank	47
Safety Rank	67
Combined Rank	93

Country	Brazil
Industry	Education Services
Index	BOVESPA, Human Rights, Independent Boards Growth Markets
Size class	Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Cogna Educacao

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	42	85	66	93
GROWTH
GROWTH	27	5	83	47
SAFETY
SAFETY	4	67	55	67
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	16	50	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	39	82	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Cogna Educacao is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	42	85	66	93
GROWTH
GROWTH	27	5	83	47
SAFETY
SAFETY	4	67	55	67
COMBINED
COMBINED	1	61	86	93

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Cogna Educacao the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 93 (better than 93% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Cogna Educacao shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Cogna Educacao. Price-to-Sales is 93 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 93% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Cogna Educacao's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 95% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 100. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Cogna Educacao are expected to be higher than for 63% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 63). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 93, is a buy recommendation based on Cogna Educacao's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Cogna Educacao based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	88	89	73	93
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	1	93	64	95
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	96	100	100	100
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	1	1	1	63
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	42	85	66	93

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Cogna Educacao; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 47 (better than 47% compared with alternatives), Cogna Educacao shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half of the indicators are below and half above average for Cogna Educacao. Profit Growth, with a rank of 92 (better than 92% of its competitors), and Capital Growth, with a rank of 89, are both positive, which is a healthy sign for positive development. But Sales Growth has only a rank of 23, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 77% of its competitors, and Stock Returns are at a rank of 5. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 47, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Stock returns that are a thing of the past can be less of a problem. Below-average revenue growth may be caused by divestments of underperforming businesses. If that is the case, then the positive developments of profit and capital growth are signs of a company with growth potential. If these are the reasons, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	7	1	48	23
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	100	54	94	92
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	31	40	89
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	6	7	89	5
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	27	5	83	47

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Cogna Educacao.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 67 (better than 67% compared with alternatives), the company Cogna Educacao has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Cogna Educacao is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Cogna Educacao and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 97, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 97% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 43, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 57% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 14, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 86% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 67 (better than 67% compared with alternatives), Cogna Educacao has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Cogna Educacao are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Cogna Educacao and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	2	44	48	43
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	18	99	73	97
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	12	18	11	14
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	4	67	55	67

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Cogna Educacao and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	9	15	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	79	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	68	47	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	16	75	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	16	50	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Cogna Educacao.
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