Fact based stock research
Lucky Cement (KASE:LUCK)

PK0071501016

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Lucky Cement stock research in summary

lucky-cement.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 49 (worse than 51% compared with investment alternatives), Lucky Cement (Construction Materials, Pakistan) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Lucky Cement are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 71 (better than 71% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 37), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 43), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 49, is a hold recommendation based on Lucky Cement's financial characteristics. As the company Lucky Cement's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 71) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 37) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 43), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 71% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	71
Growth Rank	37
Safety Rank	43
Combined Rank	49

Country	Pakistan
Industry	Construction Materials
Index
Size class	Large

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Lucky Cement

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	65	71	58	71
GROWTH
GROWTH	84	31	13	37
SAFETY
SAFETY	12	57	36	43
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	37	86	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	45	51	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Lucky Cement is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	65	71	58	71
GROWTH
GROWTH	84	31	13	37
SAFETY
SAFETY	12	57	36	43
COMBINED
COMBINED	51	55	24	49

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Lucky Cement the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 71 (better than 71% compared with alternatives), Lucky Cement shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Lucky Cement. Price-to-Sales is 58 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 58% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Lucky Cement's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 87% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 64. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Lucky Cement are expected to be higher than for 53% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 53). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 71, is a buy recommendation based on Lucky Cement's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Lucky Cement based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	81	87	38	58
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	93	83	67	87
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	72	73	73	64
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	1	49	54	53
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	65	71	58	71

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Lucky Cement; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 37 (better than 37% compared with alternatives), Lucky Cement shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Lucky Cement. Capital Growth has a rank of 57, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 8% of its competitors. Investors welcomed this, visible in the Stock Returns rank of 97 (above 97% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has only a rank of 12, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 88% of its competitors, and Profit Growth is also low at a rank of 8. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 37, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is an ambiguous picture. Revenue growth and capital growth are strong, but the growth in profit, which seems good, can also be an indication that growth momentum may be negative. The fact that stock returns have been above average doesn't help much, as stock returns are less reliable in showing a company’s future growth potential. Prices may perform well for the simple reason that investors were too pessimistic in the past and are now correcting their opinions and moving the stock price to a more reasonable level. As the growth picture is mixed for Lucky Cement, investors may want to look at value and sentiment indicators for a well-rounded picture of this stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	81	63	14	12
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	n/a	55	15	8
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	56	6	57
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	64	19	93	97
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	84	31	13	37

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Lucky Cement.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 43 (better than 43% compared with alternatives), the company Lucky Cement has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Lucky Cement is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Lucky Cement and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 79, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 79% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 28, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 72% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 25, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 75% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 43 (worse than 57% compared with alternatives), Lucky Cement has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Lucky Cement are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Lucky Cement and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	14	28	20	28
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	48	57	81	79
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	26	66	16	25
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	12	57	36	43

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Lucky Cement and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	5	91	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	100	94	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	26	28	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	37	86	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Lucky Cement.
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