Fact based stock research
Metsä Board (HLSE:METSB)
FI0009000665
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Metsä Board stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 68 (better than 68% compared with investment alternatives), Metsä Board (Paper Products, Finland) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Metsä Board are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 63 (better than 63% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 76, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 29). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 68, is a buy recommendation based on Metsä Board's financial characteristics. As the company Metsä Board's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 63) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 29) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 76), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 63% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | Finland |
| Industry | Paper Products |
| Index | OMX 25, Dividends Europe, Energy Efficient, Renewables Users, Timber Industry |
| Size class | Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Metsä Board
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 57 |
|
33 |
|
15 |
|
63 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 38 |
|
17 |
|
37 |
|
29 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 83 |
|
85 |
|
87 |
|
76 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
84 |
|
31 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
59 |
|
25 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 68 (better than 68% compared with investment alternatives), Metsä Board (Paper Products, Finland) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Metsä Board are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 63 (better than 63% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 76, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 29). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 68, is a buy recommendation based on Metsä Board's financial characteristics. As the company Metsä Board's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 63) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 29) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 76), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 63% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 57 |
|
33 |
|
15 |
|
63 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 38 |
|
17 |
|
37 |
|
29 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 83 |
|
85 |
|
87 |
|
76 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 74 |
|
31 |
|
43 |
|
68 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 63 (better than 63% compared with alternatives), Metsä Board shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Metsä Board. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price to earnings, P/E ratio) is 51 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 51% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Metsä Board's profit levels. The same is valid for the expected Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 67, and for Dividend Yield with a Dividend Yield Rank of 92. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the stock price is higher than average as regards expected revenues; only 59% of all competitors have an even higher stock price as regards to sales revenues (a Price-to-Sales Rank of 41). Profits, the level of invested capital, and dividend policy suggest that this stock is attractively priced. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 63, is a buy recommendation based on Metsä Board's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since it is on the expensive side for Price-to-Sales, it may mean that Metsä Board has pricing power in its distribution market because it can charge higher prices than its competitors. If this is the case, all four value indicators are positive signals for purchasing Metsä Board shares. 9. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 28 |
|
23 |
|
21 |
|
41 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 58 |
|
44 |
|
22 |
|
51 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 45 |
|
41 |
|
49 |
|
67 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 80 |
|
83 |
|
49 |
|
92 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 57 |
|
33 |
|
15 |
|
63 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 29 (better than 29% compared with alternatives), Metsä Board shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below-average for Metsä Board. While Sales Growth ranks at 88, professionals currently expect the company to grow more than 88% of its competitors, while all other growth ranks are below the market median. Profit Growth has a rank of 10, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 90% of its competitors, and Capital Growth has a low rank of 46. Historic stock returns were also below average with a current Stock Returns rank of 11 which means that the stock returns have recently been below 89% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 29, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. If revenues are expected to increase, but all other growth indicators are negative, the company may be investing in future growth through means not visible in the balance sheet and thus not reflected in capital growth. The fact that Stock Returns have been below market doesn't mean that much, as it may be due to overly optimistic investor behavior in the past, which has been corrected to a more reasonable level recently. If that were the case, a positive Value Rank would be a reason to invest because the company is still expected to grow, while stock prices are now at a more reasonable level. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance isn't stellar here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 20 |
|
35 |
|
90 |
|
88 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 52 |
|
48 |
|
27 |
|
10 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
31 |
|
1 |
|
46 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 37 |
|
27 |
|
41 |
|
11 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 38 |
|
17 |
|
37 |
|
29 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 76 (better than 76% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Metsä Board has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Metsä Board is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Metsä Board. Leverage is at 80, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 80% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 53, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 53% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 67, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 67% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 76 (better than 76% compared with alternatives), Metsä Board has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Metsä Board but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 73 |
|
68 |
|
74 |
|
80 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 47 |
|
69 |
|
47 |
|
53 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 80 |
|
75 |
|
92 |
|
67 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 83 |
|
85 |
|
87 |
|
76 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
5 |
|
16 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
100 |
|
61 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
84 |
|
39 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
84 |
|
31 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Metsä Board from December 19, 2024.
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