Fact based stock research
Makuake (TSE:4479)
JP3862920000
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Makuake stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 46 (worse than 54% compared with investment alternatives), Makuake (Research & Consulting, Japan) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Makuake are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 27 (worse than 73% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 9) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 98), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 46, is a hold recommendation based on Makuake's financial characteristics. As the company Makuake's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 27) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 9), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 98) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | Japan |
| Industry | Research & Consulting |
| Index | |
| Size class | X-Small |
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Makuake
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 1 |
|
5 |
|
9 |
|
27 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 23 |
|
77 |
|
77 |
|
9 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 67 |
|
66 |
|
66 |
|
98 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
1 |
|
7 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
11 |
|
1 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 46 (worse than 54% compared with investment alternatives), Makuake (Research & Consulting, Japan) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Makuake are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 27 (worse than 73% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 9) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 98), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 46, is a hold recommendation based on Makuake's financial characteristics. As the company Makuake's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 27) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 9), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 98) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 1 |
|
5 |
|
9 |
|
27 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 23 |
|
77 |
|
77 |
|
9 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 67 |
|
66 |
|
66 |
|
98 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 10 |
|
16 |
|
16 |
|
46 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 27 (worse than 73% compared with alternatives), Makuake shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators where three out of four are below average for Makuake. Only the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) indicates good stock value with a Price-to-Book Rank of 74, which means that the stock price is lower compared with invested capital than for 74% of comparable investments. All other value indicators are below the market median. Price-to-Sales is 48 which means the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 52% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Makuake's revenue levels. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 74 and for the dividend yields rank which is lower than for 99% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to with the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 27, is a hold recommendation based on Makuake's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Why are market participants paying such a high price for Makuake, where three out of four value indicators are below par? One reason could be that the company is well financed, indicated by the high book capital level, and has a promising future that is not yet visible in reported revenues and profits. That would also explain the low dividend yield because the company needs the cash to invest in its future. If investors can verify a picture in this sense, the stock may still be a good investment, even though current company-reported financials don't fully explain current stock prices. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 7 |
|
9 |
|
36 |
|
48 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 26 |
|
3 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 6 |
|
23 |
|
76 |
|
74 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 1 |
|
5 |
|
9 |
|
27 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 9 (better than 9% compared with alternatives), Makuake shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Makuake. Only Capital Growth has a good rank of 77, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 15% of its competitors. The other three indicators are pointing South: Sales Growth has a rank of 13 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 87% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 15 and Stock Returns with a rank of 9 are also low (below 91% of alternative investments). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 9, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The good news from the invested capital side is surprising. A company with disappointing revenues, profits, and disappointed shareholders typically doesn't invest above average. Overall, the growth momentum for Makuake is thus negative. As it is intriguing to see that company executives are optimistic about their investment policy, it is worthwhile looking into the details of the capital investment projects. They may indicate future growth and profits and thus if accompanied by a good value, a sign of good timing to invest in the stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 93 |
|
100 |
|
19 |
|
13 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | n/a |
|
58 |
|
98 |
|
15 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
93 |
|
100 |
|
77 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 2 |
|
3 |
|
5 |
|
9 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 23 |
|
77 |
|
77 |
|
9 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 98 (better than 98% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Makuake has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Makuake is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators where two out of three are above average for Makuake.Leverage is at 100, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 100% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 98, meaning that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 98% of its competitors. Liquidity is at 1, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 99% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side regarding debt service. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 98 (better than 98% compared with alternatives), Makuake has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. Low leverage and low refinancing risk mean a safer financing situation. However, low liquidity means that current company cash flows are low in relation to the level of debt. This is a sign of caution in case it is expected for profits to remain low. Investors should compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before deciding. They may also want to investigate why cash flows are expected to be low, making debt service for Makuake more challenging. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 74 |
|
100 |
|
100 |
|
100 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 32 |
|
56 |
|
94 |
|
98 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 83 |
|
68 |
|
68 |
|
1 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 67 |
|
66 |
|
66 |
|
98 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
53 |
|
15 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
1 |
|
2 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
1 |
|
7 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Makuake from December 19, 2024.
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