Fact based stock research
Marriott Vacations (NYSE:VAC)

US57164Y1073

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Marriott Vacations stock research in summary

marriottvacationsworldwide.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 54 (better than 54% compared with investment alternatives), Marriott Vacations (Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Marriott Vacations are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 95 (better than 95% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 37), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 46), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 54, is a buy recommendation based on Marriott Vacations's financial characteristics. As the company Marriott Vacations's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 95) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 37) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 46), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 95% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	95
Growth Rank	37
Safety Rank	46
Combined Rank	54

Country	USA
Industry	Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
Index	Dividends USA, S&P MIDCAP
Size class	X-Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Marriott Vacations

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	79	95	98	95
GROWTH
GROWTH	73	91	5	37
SAFETY
SAFETY	50	46	46	46
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	86	8	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	100	81	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Marriott Vacations is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	79	95	98	95
GROWTH
GROWTH	73	91	5	37
SAFETY
SAFETY	50	46	46	46
COMBINED
COMBINED	79	54	54	54

Last update of combined financial performance: 6-Oct-2022. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Marriott Vacations the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 95 (better than 95% compared with alternatives) for 2022, Marriott Vacations shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Marriott Vacations. Price-to-Sales is 76 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 76% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Marriott Vacations's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 77% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 71. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Marriott Vacations are expected to be higher than for 88% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 88). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 95, is a buy recommendation based on Marriott Vacations's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Marriott Vacations based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	65	62	79	76
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	17	68	88	77
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	67	62	67	71
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	90	85	94	88
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	79	95	98	95

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Marriott Vacations; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 37 (better than 37% compared with alternatives), Marriott Vacations shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Marriott Vacations. Sales Growth has a below market rank of 42, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 58% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 43, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 32. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 68% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 67, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 67% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 37, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for Marriott Vacations, and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with recent above-market stock returns. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive stock returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	32	59	36	42
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	67	100	20	32
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	72	21	43
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	79	61	9	67
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	73	91	5	37

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Marriott Vacations.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 46 (better than 46% compared with alternatives), the company Marriott Vacations has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Marriott Vacations is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Marriott Vacations. Leverage is at 57, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 57% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 100, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 100% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 72, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 72% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 46 (worse than 54% compared with alternatives), Marriott Vacations has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Marriott Vacations but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	10	72	58	57
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	100	100	100	100
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	48	61	86	72
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	50	46	46	46

Last update of Safety Rank: 6-Oct-2022. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Marriott Vacations and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	89	9	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	94	36	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	22	17	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	86	8	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Marriott Vacations.
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