Fact based stock research
Mercari (TSE:4385)
JP3921290007
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Mercari stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 37 (worse than 63% compared with investment alternatives), Mercari (Internet Retail, Japan) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Mercari are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 15 (worse than 85% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 71) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 50, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 37, is a hold recommendation based on Mercari's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Mercari exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 15), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 71). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 50) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | Japan |
| Industry | Internet Retail |
| Index | |
| Size class | Large |
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Mercari
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 3 |
|
1 |
|
3 |
|
15 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 97 |
|
69 |
|
57 |
|
71 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 3 |
|
24 |
|
44 |
|
50 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
28 |
|
21 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
8 |
|
6 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 37 (worse than 63% compared with investment alternatives), Mercari (Internet Retail, Japan) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Mercari are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 15 (worse than 85% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 71) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 50, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 37, is a hold recommendation based on Mercari's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Mercari exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 15), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 71). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 50) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 3 |
|
1 |
|
3 |
|
15 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 97 |
|
69 |
|
57 |
|
71 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 3 |
|
24 |
|
44 |
|
50 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 14 |
|
10 |
|
8 |
|
37 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 15 (worse than 85% compared with alternatives), Mercari shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Mercari. Only Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) indicates good stock value with a rank of 50, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 50% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Mercari's profit levels. But Price-to-Sales is 31 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than for 69% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Mercari's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 25 and for dividend yield, which is lower than for 86% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 15, is a sell recommendation based on Mercari's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Can we rely on only one good value indicator? Only if we know the company well. In this case, a high Price-to-Profit Rank, while Price-to-Sales and Price-to-Book are both below the market typical levels, means that the company can charge higher prices for its products and needs less capital to produce them. If this is sustainable, then Mercari is a good investment because profits count most in enterprise valuations. The low dividend yield indicates that the company is confident it can do something with the generated cash that is more valuable than paying the profits out to the shareholders in the form of dividends. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 28 |
|
5 |
|
15 |
|
31 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 18 |
|
3 |
|
17 |
|
50 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 8 |
|
7 |
|
14 |
|
25 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
14 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 3 |
|
1 |
|
3 |
|
15 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 71 (better than 71% compared with alternatives), Mercari shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Mercari. Sales Growth has a value of 89 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 89% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a value of 61 and Capital Growth with a rank of 82 means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow both profits and invested capital more than of its competitors. But Stock Returns has only a rank of 5, which means that stock returns have recently been below 95% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 71, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Mercari has only one below-average growth indicator, the stock returns. This is probably the least reliable growth indicator, because it measures company and investor expectations at the same time. The three other growth indicators, which are all positive for Mercari, are more reliable measures of growth momentum. For this reason, the company seems to be on a good trajectory, unless you think the current period is not representative, because of unique events that will not be repeated in the future. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 76 |
|
89 |
|
29 |
|
89 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | n/a |
|
4 |
|
45 |
|
61 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
82 |
|
88 |
|
82 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 67 |
|
33 |
|
35 |
|
5 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 97 |
|
69 |
|
57 |
|
71 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 50 (better than 50% compared with alternatives), the company Mercari has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Mercari is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for Mercari. Refinancing is at 80, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 80% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 65, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 65% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 9, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 91% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 50 (better than 50% compared with alternatives), Mercari has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and Mercari could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Mercari and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 45 |
|
12 |
|
9 |
|
9 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 14 |
|
54 |
|
66 |
|
80 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 3 |
|
42 |
|
75 |
|
65 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 3 |
|
24 |
|
44 |
|
50 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
81 |
|
68 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
75 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
12 |
|
42 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
3 |
|
5 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
28 |
|
21 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Mercari from November 14, 2024.
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