Fact based stock research
Mondelez (NasdaqGS:MDLZ)
US6092071058
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Mondelez stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 60 (better than 60% compared with investment alternatives), Mondelez (Packaged Foods & Meats, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Mondelez are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 49 (worse than 51% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 44, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 71). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 60, is a buy recommendation based on Mondelez's financial characteristics. As the company Mondelez shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 49 (51% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 71% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 71). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 44 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Mondelez, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | USA |
Industry | Packaged Foods & Meats |
Index | NASDAQ 100, NASDAQ, S&P US Consumer, S&P US Food & Beverage, S&P 500 |
Size class | XX-Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Mondelez
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 21 |
|
53 |
|
40 |
|
49 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 75 |
|
70 |
|
81 |
|
71 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 29 |
|
39 |
|
37 |
|
44 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
98 |
|
100 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
83 |
|
86 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 60 (better than 60% compared with investment alternatives), Mondelez (Packaged Foods & Meats, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Mondelez are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 49 (worse than 51% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 44, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 71). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 60, is a buy recommendation based on Mondelez's financial characteristics. As the company Mondelez shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 49 (51% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 71% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 71). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 44 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Mondelez, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 21 |
|
53 |
|
40 |
|
49 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 75 |
|
70 |
|
81 |
|
71 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 29 |
|
39 |
|
37 |
|
44 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 18 |
|
63 |
|
56 |
|
60 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 49 (worse than 51% compared with alternatives), Mondelez shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Mondelez. Expected dividend yields are higher than for 62% of comparable companies (a Dividend Yield rank of 62), making the stock attractive. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 57, which means that the stock price is lower compared with invested capital than for 57% of comparable investments. But in respect to sales and profits, the picture is reversed. Price-to-Sales is 29 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than for 71% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Mondelez's sales levels. The Price-to-Profit ratio (also referred to as price-earnings (P/E) ratio) is also unfavorable for Mondelez with a rank of 36. This means that the stock price, compared with what market professionals expect for future profits, is higher than for 64% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Mondelez's profit levels. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 49, is a hold recommendation based on Mondelez's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The company seems confident that it can generate a reasonable return on invested capital, because it pays an above-average dividend while profits are below what you would expect for a company with this stock price. If you agree with this practice and believe that profits will return to higher levels, as the current dividend policy suggests, Mondelez may be an attractive investment. If this is not the case, you may want to be careful with this stock as it is also expensive compared with its expected revenue levels. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 10 |
|
23 |
|
22 |
|
29 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 34 |
|
49 |
|
44 |
|
36 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 34 |
|
51 |
|
49 |
|
57 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 46 |
|
61 |
|
54 |
|
62 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 21 |
|
53 |
|
40 |
|
49 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 71 (better than 71% compared with alternatives), Mondelez shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Mondelez. Sales Growth has a value of 68 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 68% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a value of 60 and Capital Growth with a rank of 65 means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow both profits and invested capital more than of its competitors. But Stock Returns has only a rank of 39, which means that stock returns have recently been below 61% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 71, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Mondelez has only one below-average growth indicator, the stock returns. This is probably the least reliable growth indicator, because it measures company and investor expectations at the same time. The three other growth indicators, which are all positive for Mondelez, are more reliable measures of growth momentum. For this reason, the company seems to be on a good trajectory, unless you think the current period is not representative, because of unique events that will not be repeated in the future. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 58 |
|
36 |
|
59 |
|
68 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | 13 |
|
57 |
|
42 |
|
60 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
69 |
|
83 |
|
65 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 61 |
|
67 |
|
77 |
|
39 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 75 |
|
70 |
|
81 |
|
71 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 44 (better than 44% compared with alternatives), the company Mondelez has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Mondelez is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Mondelez. Leverage is at a rank of 50, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 50% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 75, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 75% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 9, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 91% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 44 (worse than 56% compared with alternatives), Mondelez has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Mondelez. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with Mondelez and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 54 |
|
36 |
|
44 |
|
50 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 17 |
|
3 |
|
7 |
|
9 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 31 |
|
79 |
|
69 |
|
75 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 29 |
|
39 |
|
37 |
|
44 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
67 |
|
95 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
64 |
|
62 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
92 |
|
90 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
76 |
|
77 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
98 |
|
100 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Mondelez from November 14, 2024.
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